Publication

Simulating future changes in Arctic and subarctic vegetation

Publications associées (23)

Soil warming alters tree water use and canopy stomatal conductance in a mixed subtropical forest

As air temperature and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) increase continuously, forests are losing more water through evapotranspiration, with large consequences for local and global hydrological cycles. In regions with high vegetation cover, soil warming can b ...

Elsevier2024

Climate Change Contributions to Increasing Compound Flooding Risk in New York City

Monika Feldmann

Efforts to meaningfully quantify the changes in coastal compound surge- and rainfall -driven flooding hazard associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) and extratropical cyclones (ETCs) in a warming climate have increased in recent years. Despite substantial ...

Amer Meteorological Soc2024

Spatial Modeling for Building Design Evaluation: from Visual Landscape Quality Assessment to Devaluation Risk Estimation

Adam Robert Swietek

Zoning reform is a crucial tool for cities to adapt to contemporary challenges. However, its implementation remains challenging. Property owners, with a vested interest in the value of their neighborhoods, are sensitive to local developments and the potent ...

EPFL2024

Quantifying the Unknown: Data-Driven Approaches and Applications in Energy Systems

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In light of the challenges posed by climate change and the goals of the Paris Agreement, electricity generation is shifting to a more renewable and decentralized pattern, while the operation of systems like buildings is increasingly electrified. This calls ...

EPFL2024

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This paper analyzes the findings obtained when applying a multi-criteria performance-based method for sizing a BIPV installation considering different weather files, representing historical data (TMY; typical meteorological year) and prospective data (thre ...

2023

Global Mapping of Potential and Climatic Plant‐Available Soil Water

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The estimation of plant-available soil water (PASW) is essential to quantify transpiration fluxes, the onset of heatwaves, irrigation water management, land-use decisions, vegetation ecology, and land surface memory in climate models. PASW is the amount of ...

2023

A full year of aerosol size distribution data from the central Arctic under an extreme positive Arctic Oscillation: insights from the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition

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The Arctic environment is rapidly changing due to accelerated warming in the region. The warming trend is driving a decline in sea ice extent, which thereby enhances feedback loops in the surface energy budget in the Arctic. Arctic aerosols play an importa ...

Copernicus Publications2023

Near-bed stratification controls bottom hypoxia in ice-covered alpine lakes

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In ice-covered lakes, near-bottom oxygen concentration decreases for most of the wintertime, sometimes down to the point that bottom waters become hypoxic. Studies insofar have reached divergent conclusions on whether climate change limits or reinforces th ...

American Society of Limnology and Oceanography2023

Homogeneous Environmental Selection Structures the Bacterial Communities of Benthic Biofilms in Proglacial Floodplain Streams

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Streams draining proglacial floodplains harbor benthic biofilms comprised of diverse microbial communities. These high-mountain ecosystems are rapidly changing with climate warming, and it is therefore critical to better understand the mechanisms underlyin ...

AMER SOC MICROBIOLOGY2023

Clean air policies are key for successfully mitigating Arctic warming

Luca Pozzoli, Julia Schmale

A tighter integration of modeling frameworks for climate and air quality is urgently needed to assess the impacts of clean air policies on future Arctic and global climate. We combined a new model emulator and comprehensive emissions scenarios for air poll ...

2022

Annual cycle observations of aerosols capable of ice formation in central Arctic clouds

Julia Schmale, Ivo Fabio Beck

The Arctic is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, prompting glacial melt, permafrost thaw, and sea ice decline. These severe consequences induce feedbacks that contribute to amplified warming, affecting weather and climate globally. Aerosols and cl ...

Nature Research2022

Spatial areas of genotype probability: Predicting the spatial distribution of adaptive genetic variants under future climatic conditions

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In a context of rapid global change, one of the key components for the survival of species is their genetic evolutionary potential for adaptation. Many methods have been developed to identify genetic variants underpinning adaptation to climate, but few too ...

2021

Aerosols in current and future Arctic climate

Julia Schmale

Mechanisms of Arctic amplification and Arctic climate change are difficult to pinpoint, and current climate models do not represent the complex local processes and feedbacks at play, in particular for aerosol–climate interactions. This Perspective highligh ...

2021

Planning for a Changing Climate without Accurate Predictions

Parag Rastogi, Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Simulation is an informative tool to plan the design and renovation of engineering systems, but its use requires accurate inputs from the users. Inputs such as the unknown future operating conditions might be expected in a system’s lifetime, e.g., the futu ...

Taylor & Francis Group2021

Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale

For generations, climate scientists have educated the public that 'weather is not climate', and climate change has been framed as the change in the distribution of weather that slowly emerges from large variability over decades(1-7). However, weather when ...

2020

Seascape Genomics of the Sugar Kelp Saccharina latissima along the North Eastern Atlantic Latitudinal Gradient

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Temperature is one of the most important range-limiting factors for many seaweeds. Driven by the recent climatic changes, rapid northward shifts of species' distribution ranges can potentially modify the phylogeographic signature of Last Glacial Maximum. W ...

MDPI2020

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Ulrich Lemmin

In order to identify or shed light on dominant long-term processes of the deep hypolimnion of Lake Geneva (309 m depth), time series of temperature and horizontal currents and profiles of temperature and oxygen, taken for over a decade in the deepest part ...

American Society of Limnology and Oceanography2020

Assessing the responses of Sphagnum micro-eukaryotes to climate changes using high throughput sequencing

Alexandre Buttler, Enrique Lara, Edward Mitchell, Mariusz Lamentowicz, Vincent Eric Jules Jassey

Current projections suggest that climate warming will be accompanied by more frequent and severe drought events. Peatlands store ca. one third of the world's soil organic carbon. Warming and drought may cause peatlands to become carbon sources through stim ...

PEERJ INC2020

The Legacy Effects of Winter Climate on Microbial Functioning After Snowmelt in a Subarctic Tundra

Konstantin Svetlozarov Gavazov

Warming-induced increases in microbial CO2 release in northern tundra may positively feedback to climate change. However, shifts in microbial extracellular enzyme activities (EEAs) may alter the impacts of warming over the longer term. We investigated the ...

SPRINGER2019

Effects of climate warming on Sphagnum photosynthesis in peatlands depend on peat moisture and species-specific anatomical traits

Constant Signarbieux, Vincent Eric Jules Jassey

Climate change will influence plant photosynthesis by altering patterns of temperature and precipitation, including their variability and seasonality. Both effects may be important for peatlands as the carbon (C) sink potential of these ecosystems depends ...

WILEY2019