Publications associées à A case study of a "Dragon-King": The 1999 Venezuelan catastrophe

Publications associées (21)

Technology Strategy in Dynamic Environments: A Computational Analysis of the Automation of Routines, the Organization of AI, and the Evaluation of Technology Risk

In this dissertation, I develop theory and evidence to argue that new technologies are central to how firms organize to create and capture value. I use computational methods such as reinforcement learning and probabilistic topic modeling to investigate thr ...

EPFL2022

Discovering Tonal Profiles with Latent Dirichlet Allocation

Martin Alois Rohrmeier, Fabian Claude Moss

Music analysis, in particular harmonic analysis, is concerned with the way pitches are organized in pieces of music, and a range of empirical applications have been developed, for example, for chord recognition or key finding. Naturally, these approaches r ...

2021

Exploring the foundations of tonality: statistical cognitive modeling of modes in the history of Western classical music

Martin Alois Rohrmeier, Fabian Claude Moss, Daniel Harasim

Tonality is one of the most central theoretical concepts for the analysis of Western classical music. This study presents a novel approach for the study of its historical development, exploring in particular the concept of mode. Based on a large dataset of ...

2021

A Dirichlet process mixture model of discrete choice: Comparisons and a case study on preferences for shared automated vehicles

Rico Krüger

This paper i) compares parametric and semi-parametric representations of unobserved heterogeneity in hierarchical Bayesian logit models and ii) applies these methods to infer distributions of willingness to pay for features of shared automated vehicle (SAV ...

2020

Learning Urban Nightlife Routines from Mobile Data

Daniel Gatica-Perez, Thanh Trung Phan

The use of smartphone sensing for public health studies is appealing to understand routines. We present an approach to learn nightlife routines in a smartphone sensing dataset volunteered by 184 young people (1586 weekend nights with location data captured ...

ACM2020

Small Variance Asymptotics for Non-Parametric Online Robot Learning

Sylvain Calinon, Ajay Kumar Tanwani

Small variance asymptotics is emerging as a useful technique for inference in large scale Bayesian non-parametric mixture models. This paper analyses the online learning of robot manipulation tasks with Bayesian non-parametric mixture models under small va ...

SAGE Publications2019

Mirrored Langevin Dynamics

Volkan Cevher, Ya-Ping Hsieh, Ali Kavis, Paul Thierry Yves Rolland

We consider the problem of sampling from constrained distributions, which has posed significant challenges to both non-asymptotic analysis and algorithmic design. We propose a unified framework, which is inspired by the classical mirror descent, to derive ...

2018

Extremal attractors of Liouville copulas

Léo Raymond-Belzile

Liouville copulas introduced in McNeil and Ne lehova (2010) are asymmetric generalizations of the ubiquitous Archimedean copula class. They are the dependence structures of scale mixtures of Dirichlet distributions, also called Liouville distributions. In ...

2017

Applications of Approximate Learning and Inference for Probabilistic Models

Young Jun Ko

We develop approximate inference and learning methods for facilitating the use of probabilistic modeling techniques motivated by applications in two different areas. First, we consider the ill-posed inverse problem of recovering an image from an underdeter ...

EPFL2017

Online Inference in Bayesian Non-Parametric Mixture Models under Small Variance Asymptotics

Sylvain Calinon, Ajay Kumar Tanwani

Adapting statistical learning models online with large scale streaming data is a challenging problem. Bayesian non-parametric mixture models provide flexibility in model selection, however, their widespread use is limited by the computational overhead of e ...

2016

Wiki-LDA: A Mixed-Method Approach for Effective Interest Mining on Twitter Data

Xiao Pu

Learning analytics (LA) and Educational data mining (EDM) have emerged as promising technology-enhanced learning (TEL) research areas in recent years. Both areas deal with the development of methods that harness educational data sets to support the learnin ...

Scitepress2016

Temporal Analysis of Motif Mixtures using Dirichlet Processes

Jean-Marc Odobez, Jagannadan Varadarajan

In this article, we present a new model for unsupervised discovery of recurrent temporal patterns (or motifs) in time series (or documents). The model is designed to handle the difficult case of multivariate time series obtained from a mixture of activitie ...

2014

Scalable Collaborative Bayesian Preference Learning

Matthias Seeger, Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan, Young Jun Ko

Learning about users’ utilities from preference, discrete choice or implicit feedback data is of integral importance in e-commerce, targeted advertising and web search. Due to the sparsity and diffuse nature of data, Bayesian approaches hold much promise, ...

2014

Sequential Topic Models for Mining Recurrent Activities and their Relationships : Application to long term video recordings

Jagannadan Varadarajan

In this thesis, we address the analysis of activities from long term data logs with an emphasis on video recordings. Starting from simple words from video, we progressively build methods to infer higher level scene semantics. The main strategies used to ac ...

EPFL2012

Tag Recommendation for Large-Scale Ontology-Based Information Systems

Roman Prokofyev, Karl Aberer, Alexey Boyarsky, Oleg Ruchayskiy, Philippe Cudré-Mauroux

We tackle the problem of improving the relevance of automatically selected tags in large-scale ontology-based information systems. Contrary to traditional settings where tags can be chosen arbitrarily, we focus on the problem of recommending tags (e.g., co ...

Springer2012

Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Simone Padoan

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent progress in the ...

Institute of Mathematical Statistics2012

A Probabilistic Approach to Socio-Geographic Reality Mining

Katayoun Farrahi

As we live our daily lives, our surroundings know about it. Our surroundings consist of people, but also our electronic devices. Our mobile phones, for example, continuously sense our movements and interactions. This socio-geographic data could be continuo ...

EPFL2011

Definitive Consensus for Distributed Data Inference

Leonidas Georgopoulos

Inference from data is of key importance in many applications of informatics. The current trend in performing such a task of inference from data is to utilise machine learning algorithms. Moreover, in many applications that it is either required or is pref ...

EPFL2011

Discovering Routines from Large-Scale Human Locations using Probabilistic Topic Models

Daniel Gatica-Perez, Katayoun Farrahi

In this work we discover the daily location-driven routines which are contained in a massive real-life human dataset collected by mobile phones. Our goal is the discovery and analysis of human routines which characterize both individual and group behaviors ...

2011

Fisher Kernels and Probabilistic Latent Semantic Models

Tasks that rely on semantic content of documents, notably Information Retrieval and Document Classification, can benefit from a good account of document context, i.e. the semantic association between documents. To this effect, the scheme of latent semantic ...

EPFL2010