Publications associées à Real estate and portfolio risk: an analysis based on copula functions

Portfolio Construction with Hierarchical Momentum

This article presents a portfolio construction approach that combines the hierarchical clustering of a large asset universe with the stock price momentum. On one hand, investing in high-momentum stocks enhances returns by capturing the momentum premium. On ...

Pageant Media Ltd2024

Using automated design appraisal to model building-specific devaluation risk due to land-use change

Adam Robert Swietek

Uncertainty of spillover effects – including property devaluation - from proposed land-use change elicits opposition to local development. This hinders cities’ ability to implement land-use policy aimed at housing affordability and environmental sustainabi ...

2024

Greening the Swiss National Bank's Portfolio

Eric Jondeau, Rüdiger Fahlenbrach

Central banks are increasingly concerned about climate-related risks and want to ensure that the financial system is resilient to them. As they integrate these risks into financial stability monitoring, they also discuss how to apply environmental criteria ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS2023

Can one hear the shape of a target zone?

Max-Olivier Hongler

We develop an exchange rate target zone model with finite exit time and non-Gaussian tails. We show how the tails are a consequence of time-varying investor risk aversion, which generates mean-preserving spreads in the fundamental distribution. We solve ex ...

2023

International Portfolio Choice with Frictions: Evidence from Mutual Funds

Simon Tièche

Using data on international equity portfolio allocations by U.S. mutual funds, we estimate a portfolio expression derived from a standard mean-variance portfolio model extended with portfolio frictions. The optimal portfolio depends on the previous month a ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2023

Essays in macro-finance and deep learning

Goutham Gopalakrishna

This thesis studies the origins and consequences of financial crises, and computational techniques to solve continuous-time economic models that explain such crises. The first chapter shows that financial recessions are typically characterised by a large ...

EPFL2023

A machine learning approach to portfolio pricing and risk management for high-dimensional problems

Damir Filipovic

We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. Our method learns the features necessary for an effective low-dimensi ...

WILEY2022

A contagion process with self-exciting jumps in credit risk applications

Puneet Pasricha

The modeling of the probability of joint default or total number of defaults among the firms is one of the crucial problems to mitigate the credit risk since the default correlations significantly affect the portfolio loss distribution and hence play a sig ...

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2022

Predicting the stressed expected loss of large US banks

Eric Jondeau, Amir Hossein Khalilzadeh Naghneh

We develop a methodology to measure the expected loss of commercial banks in a market downturn, which we call stressed expected loss (SEL). We simulate a market downturn as a negative shock on interest rate and credit market risk factors that reflect the b ...

ELSEVIER2022

Illiquidity and Higher Cumulants

Semyon Malamud, Alberto Mokak Teguia

We characterize the unique equilibrium in an economy populated by strategic CARA investors who trade multiple risky assets with arbitrarily distributed payoffs. We use our explicit solution to study the joint behavior of illiquidity of option contracts. Op ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2022

Steps parameters of elderly patients hospitalised for an acute medical illness in a Swiss University Hospital: an observational pilot study

Anisoara Ionescu, Francesco Tommasini

BACKGROUND: Objective mobility goals for elderly hospitalised medical patients remain debated. We therefore studied steps parameters of elderly patients hospitalised for an acute illness, to determine goals for future interventional trials and medical prac ...

SMW supporting association2022

Swiss Negative Emissions Fund – paying for Net Zero

Philippe Thalmann, Sascha Nick

In this paper, we propose setting up a fund to finance the removal of all Swiss territorial GHG (greenhouse gas) emissions from 2030. The fund will accelerate decarbonization and help reach annual net zero emissions around 2040, and then progressively remo ...

E4S Enterprise for Society2022

Essays in Banking and Financial Regulation

Susanne Johanna Petronella Léonie Vissers

This thesis examines how banks choose their optimal capital structure and cash reserves in the presence of regulatory measures. The first chapter, titled Bank Capital Structure and Tail Risk, presents a bank capital structure model in which bank assets ...

EPFL2021

COVID-19: data-driven dynamic asset allocation in times of pandemic

Anna Timonina-Farkas

The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the importance and value of multi-period asset allocation strategies responding to rapid changes in market behavior. In this article, we formulate and solve a multi-stage stochastic optimization problem, choosing the ...

AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS2021

Combatting climate change through a portfolio of approaches

Marie-Valentine Renée Agnès Florin

Given the urgency of deploying all possible ways to combat climate change, and in light of lessons learned from the Covid-19 pandemic outbreak that it was a mistake to ignore signals and not prepare for worst-case scenarios, this article suggests that tech ...

International Risk Governance Center (IRGC)2021

Transgenic Model Systems Have Revolutionized the Study of Disease

Christopher Chase Bolt, Alexandre Gauthier Aurèle Mayran

The current pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has affected most of the world in a profound way. As an indirect consequence, the general public has been put into direct contact with the research process, almost ...

MARY ANN LIEBERT, INC2021

Epidemic mitigation by statistical inference from contact tracing data

Maria Refinetti, Giovanni Catania, Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová, Indaco Biazzo

Contact tracing is an essential tool to mitigate the impact of a pandemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of attention has been ...

National Academy of Sciences2021

Rapid Progression of Kidney Dysfunction in People Living With HIV: Use of Polygenic and Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) Risk Scores

Jacques Fellay, Christian Axel Wandall Thorball

Background In people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH), it is unknown whether genetic background associates with rapid progression of kidney dysfunction (ie, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decrease of >5mL/min/1.73m(2) per year for >= 3 ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2021

Genetic variation near CXCL12 is associated with susceptibility to HIV-related non-Hodgkin lymphoma

Jacques Fellay, Christian Hammer, Christian Axel Wandall Thorball

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is associated with an increased risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). Even in the era of suppressive antiretroviral treatment, HIV-infected individuals remain at higher risk of developing NHL compared to the gener ...

FERRATA STORTI FOUNDATION2021

Liquidity regimes and optimal dynamic asset allocation

Pierre Collin Dufresne

We solve a portfolio choice problem when expected returns, covariances, and trading costs follow a regime-switching model. The optimal policy trades towards an aim portfolio given by a weighted-average of the conditional mean-variance-efficient portfolios ...

ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA2020