Marc Vielle

Mitigation pathways tend to focus on an end temperature target and calculate how to keep within these bounds. This work uses seven integrated assessment models to consider current mitigation efforts and project likely temperature trajectories. Most of the ...

Nature Publishing Group2021

Where is the EU headed given its current climate policy? A stakeholder-driven model inter-comparison

Recent calls to do climate policy research with, rather than for, stakeholders have been answered in non-modelling science. Notwithstanding progress in modelling literature, however, very little of the scenario space traces back to what stakeholders are ul ...

ELSEVIER2021

Impact of uncertain CCS deployment on EU climate negotiations

In this paper we propose a stochastic non-cooperative meta-game approach to assess the role of uncertain CCS deployment on climate agreements among 28 European countries. The game model is identified through statistical emulation of a large set of numerica ...

2015

The EU carbon border adjustment mechanism: implications on Brazilian energy intensive industries

As an instrument supporting the realization of EU climate neutrality targets by 2050 and encouraging decarbonization outside its borders, the current proposed Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is facing opposition from some countries. Focusing on B ...

2023

The impacts of decarbonization pathways on Sustainable Development Goals in the European Union

Climate action to achieve the Paris Agreement should respect the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. Here, we use an integrated assessment modelling framework comprising nine climate policy models and quantify the impacts of decarbonisation pathw ...

2024

Assessment of European Union transition scenarios with a special focus on the issue of carbon leakage

Marc Vielle, Camille Gonseth

This paper uses the model GEMINI-E3 to simulate and assess the transition scenario to 2020 framed by the European Union in its “Energy–Climate” Directive, and it raises several issues in this connection. After a brief description of the model, the paper pr ...

Elsevier2009

A General Equilibrium Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Swiss Winter Tourism with Adaptation

Winter alpine tourism has been repeatedly identified as one of the economic sectors most at risk from climate change in Switzerland. However, all of the costs that have been estimated so far for the Swiss tourism sector are, to some extent, misleading as t ...

SPRINGER2019

An oracle based method to compute a coupled equilibrium in a model of international climate policy

This paper proposes a computational game-theoretic model for the international negotiations that should take place at the end of the period covered by the Kyoto protocol. These negotiations could lead to a self-enforcing agreement on a burden sharing schem ...

2008

Potential Integration of Chinese and European Emissions Trading Market: Welfare Distribution Analysis

Marc Vielle, Sigit Pria Perdana, Ru Li

Central to the aims of the Paris Agreement, a multilateral coordinated action through integrated carbon markets has been a practical bottom up option for effective and efficient mitigation. This paper quantifies the welfare effects of potential integration ...

2020

An Oligopoly Game of CDR Strategy Deployment in a Steady-State Net-Zero Emission Climate Regime

In this paper, we propose a simple oligopoly game model to represent the interactions between coalitions of countries in deploying carbon dioxide removal (CDR) strategies in a steady-state net-zero emission climate regime that could take place by the end o ...

2021

Making the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism Acceptable and Climate Friendly for Least Developed Countries

Implementation of CBAM to support EU climate neutrality by 2050 has raised several concerns. As the mechanism aims to minimise leakage through equal fairness in global mitigation, imposing carbon tariffs on the EU's imports of energy- intensive goods could ...

2022

Reaching Paris Agreement goal through carbon dioxide removal development: A compact OR model

A compact operations research (OR) model is proposed to analyse the prospects of meeting the Paris Agreement targets when direct air capture technologies can be used or not. The main features of the model are (i) the representation of the economy and energ ...

ELSEVIER2023

A Coupled Constraint Game Model of International Climate Policy

This paper proposes a dynamic-game theoretic model for the international negotiations that should take place to agree on a global mitigation scheme when the real extent of climate change due to anthropogenic emissions is known. The model assumes a non-coop ...

Laboratoire de recherche en économie et management de l'environnement2005

Welfare implications of EU effort sharing decision and possible impact of a hard Brexit

Marc Vielle, Frank Vöhringer, Boris Thurm

In this paper, we evaluate the recent developments of European climate policy from the perspective of the 2050 European commitments with regards to GHG emissions reduction. We use a non-cooperative meta-game approach for assessing European burden-sharing i ...

2017

Impacts of climate change for Swiss winter and summer tourism: a general equilibrium analysis

Tourism could be greatly affected by climate change due to its strong dependence on weather. In Switzerland, the sector represents an appreciable share of the economy. Thus, studying climate effects on tourism is necessary for developing adequate adaptatio ...

2017

A game of international climate policy solved by a homogeneous oracle-based method for variational inequalities

This paper presents a game-theoretic model for the international negotiations that should take place to renew or extend the Kyoto protocol beyond 2012. These negotiations should lead to a self-enforcing agreement on a burden sharing scheme to realize the n ...

2011

Expert perceptions of game-changing innovations towards net zero

Current technological improvements are yet to put the world on track to net-zero, which will require the uptake of transformative low-carbon innovations to supplement mitigation efforts. However, the role of such innovations is not yet fully understood; so ...

2023

A two-level dynamic game of carbon emission trading between Russia, China, and Annex B countries

Marc Vielle, André Sceia, Juan Carlos Altamirano Cabrera

This paper proposes a computable dynamic game model of the strategic competition between Russia and developing countries (DCs), mainly represented by China, on the international market of emission permits created by the Kyoto Protocol. The model uses a for ...

2008

Integrated Assessment of Swiss GHG Mitigation Policies After 2012

The residential sector presents a great potential for greenhouse gases (GHG) mitigation. We perform an integrated assessment of different mitigation policies for Switzerland focusing on the residential sector. We analyze the case of pure incentive taxes an ...

Springer Netherlands2012

A multimodel analysis of post-Glasgow climate targets and feasibility challenges