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Concept

Théorie de la décision

Publications associées (25)

Optimal regimes for algorithm-assisted human decision-making

Mats Julius Stensrud, Aaron Leor Sarvet, Julien David Laurendeau

We consider optimal regimes for algorithm-assisted human decision-making. Such regimes are decision functions of measured pre-treatment variables and, by leveraging natural treatment values, enjoy a superoptimality property whereby they are guaranteed to o ...

2024

Correlation of powers of Hüsler-Reiss vectors and Brown-Resnick fields, and application to insured wind losses

Erwan Fabrice Koch

H & uuml;sler-Reiss vectors and Brown-Resnick fields are popular models in multivariate and spatial extreme-value theory, respectively, and are widely used in applications. We provide analytical formulas for the correlation between powers of the components ...

Springer2024

Contextual Stochastic Bilevel Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Andreas Krause, Yifan Hu

We introduce contextual stochastic bilevel optimization (CSBO) -- a stochastic bilevel optimization framework with the lower-level problem minimizing an expectation conditioned on some contextual information and the upper-level decision variable. This fram ...

2023

Interventionist estimands in event history analysis

Matias Janvin

The presence of competing events, such as death, makes it challenging to define causal effects on recurrent outcomes. In this thesis, I formalize causal inference for recurrent events, with and without competing events. I define several causal estimands an ...

EPFL2023

Endogenous Energy Efficiency Improvement in Housing and Cement Sectors in Switzerland

Sergey Arzoyan

The reduction of energy consumption in the residential building stock and cement industry is a substantial component of the Swiss Energy Strategy 2050. Therefore, it is vital to identify the potential for EEI in these two sectors. In this study, a new meth ...

EPFL2023

An instance-based learning approach for evaluating the perception of ride-hailing waiting time variability

Michel Bierlaire

Understanding user’s perception of service variability is essential to discern their overall perception of any type of (transport) service. We study the perception of waiting time variability for ride-hailing services. We carried out a stated preference su ...

2023

Data-driven 1D wave propagation for site response analysis

Jean-François Molinari, Antonio Joaquin Garcia Suarez, Sacha Zenon Wattel

Prediction of ground motion triggered by earthquakes is a prime concern for both the seismology community and geotechnical earthquake engineering one. The subfield occupied with such a problem is termed site response analysis (SRA), its one-dimensional fla ...

WILEY2023

Bayes Security: A Not So Average Metric

Carmela González Troncoso, Giovanni Cherubin

Security system designers favor worst-case security metrics, such as those derived from differential privacy (DP), due to the strong guarantees they provide. On the downside, these guarantees result in a high penalty on the system's performance. In this pa ...

IEEE2023

Demand-based operations of vehicle sharing systems

Selin Ataç

Vehicle sharing systems (VSSs) allow users to rent vehicles for a short period of time, in a more flexible and convenient manner compared to the traditional vehicle rental services. The long-term VSS subscription replaces the need for contract signing for ...

EPFL2023

Safety risk management in University laboratories

Anastasia Jung

Risk management has become an essential element in the functioning of modern society. Correct risk identification and assessment are undoubtedly crucial to improving overall safety; nevertheless, often, it is accompanied by the wrong selection of correctiv ...

EPFL2023

Decision Procedures for Power Structures

Rodrigo Raya

We study the decision problem for the existential fragment of the theory of power structures. We prove complexity results that parallel the decidability results of Feferman-Vaught for the theories of product structures thereby showing that the construction ...

EPFL2023

On the Validity of Consensus

Rachid Guerraoui, Seth Gilbert, Jovan Komatovic, Manuel José Ribeiro Vidigueira, Pierre Philippe Civit

The Byzantine consensus problem involves.. processes, out of which t < n could be faulty and behave arbitrarily. Three properties characterize consensus: (1) termination, requiring correct (nonfaulty) processes to eventually reach a decision, (2) agreement ...

Assoc Computing Machinery2023

Tuning perception and decisions to temporal context

David Pascucci

Recent work suggests that serial dependence, where perceptual decisions are biased toward previous stimuli, arises from the prior that sensory input is temporally correlated. However, existing studies have mostly used random stimulus sequences that do not ...

Cell Press2023

Relatively Robust Decisions

Thomas Alois Weber

It is natural for humans to judge the outcome of a decision under uncertainty as a percentage of an ex-post optimal performance. We propose a robust decision-making framework based on a relative performance index. It is shown that if the decision maker’s p ...

2023

Overcoming decision paralysis—A digital twin for decision making in energy system design

François Maréchal, Julia Granacher, Tuong-Van Nguyen

The design of efficient energy systems, through the development of new technologies and the improvement of current ones, requires the use of rigorous process synthesis methods for generating and analysing design alternatives. We introduce a digital twin of ...

2022

Data-driven numerical site response

Jean-François Molinari, Antonio Joaquin Garcia Suarez, Sacha Zenon Wattel

2022

Safety Decision-Making for Laboratory Processes in Academia

Thierry Meyer, Anastasia Jung

There is a need for a tool that facilitates safety decision-making in the academic environment. As this environment is very different from that of industry or other public sectors, there is no information available on the factors that influence the decisio ...

2022

A conceptual construct on value for infrastructure asset management

Matthias Finger

Understanding the meaning of value to asset-intensive organizations and their stakeholders has been a long -standing goal of researchers and managers of the asset management community. These issues have become particularly prominent with the publication of ...

ELSEVIER SCI LTD2022

A prescriptive Dirichlet power allocation policy with deep reinforcement learning

Olga Fink

Prescribing optimal operation based on the condition of the system, and thereby potentially prolonging its remaining useful lifetime, has tremendous potential in terms of actively managing the availability, maintenance, and costs of complex systems. Reinfo ...

2022

Evaluating the Explainers: Black-Box Explainable Machine Learning for Student Success Prediction in MOOCs

Tanja Christina Käser Jacober, Mirko Marras, Vinitra Swamy, Bahar Radmehr

Neural networks are ubiquitous in applied machine learning for education. Their pervasive success in predictive performance comes alongside a severe weakness, the lack of explainability of their decisions, especially relevant in human-centric fields. We im ...

2022