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Concept

Famille exponentielle

Publications associées (27)

Generalized Bradley-Terry Models for Score Estimation from Paired Comparisons

Julien René Fageot, Le Nguyen Hoang, Sadegh Farhadkhani, Oscar Jean Olivier Villemaud

Many applications, e.g. in content recommendation, sports, or recruitment, leverage the comparisons of alternatives to score those alternatives. The classical Bradley-Terry model and its variants have been widely used to do so. The historical model conside ...

AAAI Press2024

Technical note: Two-component electrical-conductivity-based hydrograph separation employing an exponential mixing model (EXPECT) provides reliable high-temporal-resolution young water fraction estimates in three small Swiss catchments

Jana Freiin von Freyberg

The young water fraction represents the portion of water molecules in a stream that have entered the catchment relatively recently, typically within 2-3 months. It can be reliably estimated in spatially heterogeneous and nonstationary catchments from the a ...

Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh2024

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. ...

EPFL2023

Learning Linearized Degradation of Health Indicators using Deep Koopman Operator Approach

Olga Fink, Sergei Garmaev

With the current trend of increasing complexity of industrial systems, the construction and monitoring of health indicators becomes even more challenging. Given that health indicators are commonly employed to predict the end of life, a crucial criterion fo ...

Research Publishing2023

Differential Entropy of the Conditional Expectation Under Additive Gaussian Noise

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Alper Köse, Ahmet Arda Atalik

The conditional mean is a fundamental and important quantity whose applications include the theories of estimation and rate-distortion. It is also notoriously difficult to work with. This paper establishes novel bounds on the differential entropy of the co ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

Filtered data and eigenfunction estimators for statistical inference of multiscale and interacting diffusion processes

Andrea Zanoni

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters of stochastic dynamical models from data. Often, these models are high dimensional and contain several scales and complex structures. One is then interested in obtaining a reduced, coarse-grained descript ...

EPFL2022

Is There a Cap on Longevity? A Statistical Review

Anthony Christopher Davison, Léo Raymond-Belzile

There is sustained and widespread interest in understanding the limit, if there is any, to the human life span. Apart from its intrinsic and biological interest, changes in survival in old age have implications for the sustainability of social security sys ...

ANNUAL REVIEWS2022

Estimating flexibility preferences to resolve temporal scheduling conflicts in activity-based modelling

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

This paper presents a novel activity-based demand model that combines an optimisation framework for continuous temporal scheduling decisions (i.e. activity timings and durations) with traditional discrete choice models for non-temporal choice dimensions (i ...

SPRINGER2022

Common Information Components Analysis

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Erixhen Sula

Wyner's common information is a measure that quantifies and assesses the commonality between two random variables. Based on this, we introduce a novel two-step procedure to construct features from data, referred to as Common Information Components Analysis ...

2021

Learning in Volatile Environments With the Bayes Factor Surprise

Wulfram Gerstner, Johanni Michael Brea, Alireza Modirshanechi, Vasiliki Liakoni

Surprise-based learning allows agents to rapidly adapt to nonstationary stochastic environments characterized by sudden changes. We show that exact Bayesian inference in a hierarchical model gives rise to a surprise-modulated trade-off between forgetting o ...

MIT PRESS2021

Learning, compression, and leakage: Minimising classification error via meta-universal compression principles

Michael Christoph Gastpar

Learning and compression are driven by the common aim of identifying and exploiting statistical regularities in data, which opens the door for fertile collaboration between these areas. A promising group of compression techniques for learning scenarios is ...

IEEE2021

Learning Self-Exciting Temporal Point Processes Under Noisy Observations

William Trouleau

Understanding the diffusion patterns of sequences of interdependent events is a central question for a variety of disciplines. Temporal point processes are a class of elegant and powerful models of such sequences; these processes have become popular across ...

EPFL2021

A Pareto Dominance Principle for Data-Driven Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It can always be exp ...

2024

Work fluctuations in the active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck particle model

Francesco Cagnetta

We study the large deviations of the power injected by the active force for an active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck particle (AOUP), free or in a confining potential. For the free-particle case, we compute the rate function analytically in d-dimensions from a saddle- ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2021

Strong convergence of multivariate maxima

Simone Padoan, Stefano Rizzelli

It is well known and readily seen that the maximum of n independent and uniformly on [0, 1] distributed random variables, suitably standardised, converges in total variation distance, as n increases, to the standard negative exponential distribution. We ex ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2020

Modeling Network Populations via Graph Distances

Sofia Charlotta Olhede

This article introduces a new class of models for multiple networks. The core idea is to parameterize a distribution on labeled graphs in terms of a Frechet mean graph (which depends on a user-specified choice of metric or graph distance) and a parameter t ...

AMER STATISTICAL ASSOC2021

Fractional extreme distributions

Lotfi Boudabsa

We consider three classes of linear differential equations on distribution functions, with a fractional order alpha is an element of [0; 1]. The integer case alpha = 1 corresponds to the three classical extreme families. In general, we show that there is a ...

2020

Bayesian regression explains how human participants handle parameter uncertainty

Michael Herzog, Jean-Pascal Théodor Pfister, Maya Anna Jastrzebowska, Mattew Pachai

Author summary How do humans make prediction when the critical factor that influences the quality of the prediction is hidden? Here, we address this question by conducting a simple psychophysical experiment in which participants had to extrapolate a parabo ...

2020

Non-Exponential Variations for Classical Results in First Passage Percolation

Jacques Saliba

We study in this thesis the asymptotic behavior of optimal paths on a random graph model, the configuration model, for which we assign continuous random positive weights on its edges. We start by describing the asymptotic behavior of the diameter and the f ...

EPFL2020

Gamma Knife radiosurgery for acromegaly: Evaluating the role of the biological effective dose associated with endocrine remission in a series of 42 consecutive cases

Constantin Tuleasca

Introduction Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is a valuable treatment option for persistent and/or recurrent acromegaly secondary to growth hormone (GH) secreting pituitary adenoma (PA). Here, we assess the role of biological effective dose (BED) received b ...

2021