Publications related to Cluster-based Aggregate Forecasting for Residential Electricity Demand using Smart Meter Data

Related publications (42)

How Gradient Descent Balances Features: A Dynamical Analysis For Two-Layer Neural Networks

This paper investigates the fundamental regression task of learning k neurons (a.k.a. teachers) from Gaussian input, using two-layer ReLU neural networks with width m (a.k.a. students) and m, k = O(1), trained via gradient descent under proper initializati ...

2025

Improving the accuracy and interpretability of neural networks for wind power forecasting

Fernando Porté Agel, Jiannong Fang, Wenlong Liao

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are receiving increasing attention in wind power forecasting due to their ability to effectively capture complex patterns in wind data. However, their forecast errors are severely limited by the local optimal weight issue in opt ...

2025

Eflop: a Sparsity-aware Metric for Evaluating Computational Cost in Spiking and Non-spiking Neural Networks

Liza Carol Andrea Dunbar

Deploying energy-efficient deep neural networks on energy-constrained edge devices is an important research topic in both machine learning and circuit design communities. Both artificial neural networks (ANNs) and spiking neural networks (SNNs) have been p ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2025

Foundations of a New Learning Paradigm in AI Grounded in the Principles of Evolutionary Developmental Biology

Zeki Doruk Erden

Contemporary AI faces important limitations that remain unresolved despite significant successes. Chief among these are the inability to acquire new knowledge without destroying old, the incomprehensible and nonengineerable nature of internal representatio ...

EPFL2025

Deep Learning Theory Through the Lens of Diagonal Linear Networks

Scott William Pesme

In this PhD manuscript, we explore optimisation phenomena which occur in complex neural networks through the lens of

2

-layer diagonal linear networks. This rudimentary architecture, which consists of a two layer feedforward linear network with a diagonal ...

EPFL2024

From PV to EV: Mapping the Potential for Electric Vehicle Charging with Solar Energy in Europe

Christophe Ballif, Nicolas Würsch, Alejandro Pena Bello, Noémie Alice Yvonne Ségolène Jeannin, Jérémy Dumoulin

The electrification of the transport sector is a key element in decarbonizing our societies. However, energy systems will have to cope with additional electricity demand due to the charging needs of electric vehicles (EVs) together with the integration of ...

2024

On the number of regions of piecewise linear neural networks

Michaël Unser, Alexis Marie Frederic Goujon

Many feedforward neural networks (NNs) generate continuous and piecewise-linear (CPWL) mappings. Specifically, they partition the input domain into regions on which the mapping is affine. The number of these so-called linear regions offers a natural metric ...

2024

Infinite-width limit of deep linear neural networks

Maria Colombo, Xavier Fernandez-Real Girona, Lénaïc Chizat

This paper studies the infinite-width limit of deep linear neural networks (NNs) initialized with random parameters. We obtain that, when the number of parameters diverges, the training dynamics converge (in a precise sense) to the dynamics obtained from a ...

Hoboken2024

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Identification of typical district configurations: A two-step global sensitivity analysis framework

François Maréchal, Jonas Schnidrig, Cédric Terrier, Arthur Antoine Chuat

The recent geopolitical conflicts in Europe have underscored the vulnerability of the current energy system to the volatility of energy carrier prices. In the prospect of defining robust energy systems ensuring sustainable energy supply in the future, the ...

Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd2024

Network time series forecasting in photovoltaics power production

Jelena Simeunovic

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power production is crucial for the integration of more renewable energy sources into the power grid. PV power production is highly intermittent, due to the stochastic cloud behaviour and cloud dynamics. Previous w ...

EPFL2024

Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?

Alexandre Massoud Alahi

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline. In this complex ...

2024

Renewable energy integration and waste heat valorization in aluminum remelting for co-producing kerosene and methanol

François Maréchal, Daniel Alexander Florez Orrego, Meire Ellen Gorete Ribeiro Domingos

The aluminium sector relies on natural gas for the conversion of recycled scrap into new feedstock, which results in substantial atmospheric emissions. Hydric resources are also impacted, as they serve as heat sinks for the waste heat generated during the ...

Associazione Italiana Di Ingegneria Chimica2024

Beyond the average consumer: Mapping the potential of demand-side management among patterns of appliance usage

Selin Yilmaz, Claudia Rebeca Binder Signer, Matteo Barsanti

To support the decarbonisation of the power sector and offset the volatility of a system with high levels of renewables, there is growing interest in residential Demand-Side Management (DSM) solutions. Traditional DSM strategies require consumers to active ...

2024

Advancing EGFR mutation subtypes prediction in NSCLC by combining 3D pretrained ConvNeXt, radiomics, and clinical features

Jiancheng Yang

Purpose The aim of this study was to develop a novel approach for predicting the expression status of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) and its subtypes in patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) using a Three-Dimensional Convolutional Neura ...

FRONTIERS MEDIA SA2024

Navigating the Loop: From Control Systems to Neural Networks and Back

Clara Lucía Galimberti

The work presented in this thesis lies at the intersection of Machine Learning (ML) and control theory. The first part is dedicated to the design of Deep Neural Network (DNN) architectures with specific numerical properties, inspired by dynamical systems m ...

EPFL2024

Model Tuning and Performance Evaluation in Machine Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting: Case Study of a BIPV System in Switzerland

Hugo James André Quest

High PV penetration into the electricity grid can lead to issues such as congestion if PV systems are not integrated effectively. Accurate PV power forecasting helps to address this issue. In recent years machine learning approaches have gotten a lot of at ...

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.2024

Sequential CNN-based Enhancement of Ultrafast Ultrasound Imaging for Sparse Arrays

Jean-Philippe Thiran, Roser Vinals Terres

With the emergence of ultra-portable ultrasound systems, the need to reduce cost and complexity of ultrasound systems has intensified. Sparse arrays, employing fewer transducer elements to acquire images, offer a viable solution by effectively minimizing d ...

European Signal Processing Conference, EUSIPCO2024

Alternative energy supply approach for industrial complexes and district heating networks based on biomass integrated gasification

François Maréchal, Daniel Alexander Florez Orrego, Meire Ellen Gorete Ribeiro Domingos

In this work, a systematic approach combining different energy solutions and the time-varying energy demands is used to identify the operating conditions and arrangements for industrial complexes. A kraft pulp mill integrated to an urban district heating n ...

Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria2023

Performance of energy piles foundation in hot-dominated climate: A case study in Dubai

Lyesse Laloui, Elena Ravera, Sofie Elaine ten Bosch

Energy piles represent an innovative technology that can help provide sustainable geothermal heating or cooling energy for thermal conditioning purposes. In hot-dominated climates, the interest is to inject heat in the ground and extract energy for space-c ...

Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd2024