Publication

Noisy information and investment decisions: A Note

1999
Journal Articles

Abstract

This paper analyses investment decisions under uncertainty with noisy information. We provide closed-form solutions for the value of the investment policy and the optimal investment threshold. We show that when the information about the decision variable is noisy, the real option values generated by the model are close to that observed in reality. Noise is modelled with a mean-reverting stationnary process.

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1999
Journal Articles

Abstract

Official source

Related concepts (28)

Real options valuation

Real options valuation, also often termed real options analysis, (ROV or ROA) applies option valuation techniques to capital budgeting decisions. A real option itself, is the right—but not the obligation—to undertake certain business initiatives, such as deferring, abandoning, expanding, staging, or contracting a capital investment project. For example, real options valuation could examine the opportunity to invest in the expansion of a firm's factory and the alternative option to sell the factory.

Information theory

Information theory is the mathematical study of the quantification, storage, and communication of information. The field was originally established by the works of Harry Nyquist and Ralph Hartley, in the 1920s, and Claude Shannon in the 1940s. The field, in applied mathematics, is at the intersection of probability theory, statistics, computer science, statistical mechanics, information engineering, and electrical engineering. A key measure in information theory is entropy.

Investment fund

An investment fund is a way of investing money alongside other investors in order to benefit from the inherent advantages of working as part of a group such as reducing the risks of the investment by a significant percentage. These advantages include an ability to: hire professional investment managers, who may offer better returns and more adequate risk management; benefit from economies of scale, i.e., lower transaction costs; increase the asset diversification to reduce some unsystematic risk.

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Noisy information and investment decisions: A Note

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