Lecture

Maximum Likelihood Estimation: Density Estimation and Bernoulli Model

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In course

EE-311: Fundamentals of machine learning

Ce cours présente une vue générale des techniques d'apprentissage automatique, passant en revue les algorithmes, le formalisme théorique et les protocoles expérimentaux. ...

Description

This lecture covers the concept of maximum likelihood estimation for density estimation problems, focusing on the Bernoulli model. It explains how to estimate parameters by maximizing the likelihood function, using the example of a coin toss game. The lecture also discusses the unreliability of tests, such as rapid COVID-19 tests, and how to experimentally estimate sensitivity and specificity. Additionally, it delves into modeling likelihoods and the Bayesian inference in the context of screening tests for diseases like cervical cancer.

Instructors (2)

Michael Stefan Daniel Liebling

Teaching & PhD Past EPFL PhD Students as codirector Christian Jaques, Olivia Mariani, Adrian Shajkofci, François Thierry M Marelli Courses Fundamentals of machine learning EE-311 This course provides a general overview of machine learning, covering the main algorithms, theoretical formalisms, and experimental protocols.

François Fleuret

Official source

Related concepts (32)

Estimation theory

Estimation theory is a branch of statistics that deals with estimating the values of parameters based on measured empirical data that has a random component. The parameters describe an underlying physical setting in such a way that their value affects the distribution of the measured data. An estimator attempts to approximate the unknown parameters using the measurements.

Likelihood principle

In statistics, the likelihood principle is the proposition that, given a statistical model, all the evidence in a sample relevant to model parameters is contained in the likelihood function. A likelihood function arises from a probability density function considered as a function of its distributional parameterization argument.

Likelihood-ratio test

In statistics, the likelihood-ratio test assesses the goodness of fit of two competing statistical models, specifically one found by maximization over the entire parameter space and another found after imposing some constraint, based on the ratio of their likelihoods. If the constraint (i.e., the null hypothesis) is supported by the observed data, the two likelihoods should not differ by more than sampling error. Thus the likelihood-ratio test tests whether this ratio is significantly different from one, or equivalently whether its natural logarithm is significantly different from zero.

Maximum spacing estimation

In statistics, maximum spacing estimation (MSE or MSP), or maximum product of spacing estimation (MPS), is a method for estimating the parameters of a univariate statistical model. The method requires maximization of the geometric mean of spacings in the data, which are the differences between the values of the cumulative distribution function at neighbouring data points.

Bayesian inference

Bayesian inference (ˈbeɪziən or ˈbeɪʒən ) is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Bayesian inference is an important technique in statistics, and especially in mathematical statistics. Bayesian updating is particularly important in the dynamic analysis of a sequence of data. Bayesian inference has found application in a wide range of activities, including science, engineering, philosophy, medicine, sport, and law.

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