Lecture

Estimating Expectation

Graph Chat

Chat with Graph Search

Ask any question about EPFL courses, lectures, exercises, research, news, etc. or try the example questions below.

DISCLAIMER: The Graph Chatbot is not programmed to provide explicit or categorical answers to your questions. Rather, it transforms your questions into API requests that are distributed across the various IT services officially administered by EPFL. Its purpose is solely to collect and recommend relevant references to content that you can explore to help you answer your questions.

Description

This lecture covers the estimation of expectation in the context of discrete random variables, focusing on the calculation of the mean value. The instructor explains the concept of expectation, its calculation formula, and its importance in probability theory. Various examples are provided to illustrate the calculation process, including the expectation of a binomial distribution. The lecture emphasizes the significance of expectation in understanding the average outcome of random events and highlights the distinction between theoretical expectation and empirical averages.

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Statistics

Statistical inference: Mathematical statistics

Related concepts (32)

Random variable

A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. The term 'random variable' can be misleading as it is not actually random nor a variable, but rather it is a function from possible outcomes (e.g., the possible upper sides of a flipped coin such as heads and tails ) in a sample space (e.g., the set ) to a measurable space (e.g., in which 1 corresponding to and −1 corresponding to ), often to the real numbers.

Probability

Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning numerical descriptions of how likely an event is to occur, or how likely it is that a proposition is true. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where, roughly speaking, 0 indicates impossibility of the event and 1 indicates certainty. The higher the probability of an event, the more likely it is that the event will occur. A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin.

Probability theory

Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space.

Probability axioms

The Kolmogorov axioms are the foundations of probability theory introduced by Russian mathematician Andrey Kolmogorov in 1933. These axioms remain central and have direct contributions to mathematics, the physical sciences, and real-world probability cases. An alternative approach to formalising probability, favoured by some Bayesians, is given by Cox's theorem. The assumptions as to setting up the axioms can be summarised as follows: Let be a measure space with being the probability of some event , and .

Independent and identically distributed random variables

In probability theory and statistics, a collection of random variables is independent and identically distributed if each random variable has the same probability distribution as the others and all are mutually independent. This property is usually abbreviated as i.i.d., iid, or IID. IID was first defined in statistics and finds application in different fields such as data mining and signal processing. Statistics commonly deals with random samples. A random sample can be thought of as a set of objects that are chosen randomly.

Related lectures (64)

Probability and Statistics

Covers Simpson's paradox, probability distributions, and real-life examples in probability and statistics.

Probability and Statistics

Delves into probability, statistics, paradoxes, and random variables, showcasing their real-world applications and properties.

Probability and Statistics

Covers fundamental concepts in probability and statistics, including distributions, properties, and expectations of random variables.

Bayes' Theorem: Defective Parts Detection

Explores Bayes' Theorem for defective parts detection, discrete random variables, and distribution functions, with practical examples and exercises.

Expectation Properties: Linearity, Inclusion-Exclusion Formula

Covers the properties of expectation and examples of calculating expectations for random variables.

Related concepts (32)

Independent and identically distributed random variables