Lecture

Probability and Statistics

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In course

MATH-232: Probability and statistics (for IC)

Cours d'introduction à la théorie des probabilités et aux statistiques. ...

Description

This lecture covers various topics in probability and statistics, including Simpson's paradox, Bernoulli random variables, binomial random variables, and geometric distribution. It explores concepts such as independence, probability mass functions, and waiting time for events. Examples illustrate the application of these concepts in real-world scenarios, like multiple choice tests and board games. The lack of memory theorem is also discussed, highlighting the memoryless property of certain random variables.

Instructors (2)

Emmanuel Abbé

Teaching & PhD PhD Students Denys Pushkin, Ortal Yona Senouf, Vladyslav Shashkov Past EPFL PhD Students Elisabetta Cornacchia, Aryo Lotfi Courses Reasoning in artificial intelligence MATH-700 Large language models have raised the potential of artificial intelligence in various applications, including science and mathematics, but their reasoning capabilities remain under investigations. This class focuses on defining, measuring and improving the reasoning capabilities of such AI models. Awa

Raphaël Jean Berthier

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Statistics

Statistical inference: Mathematical statistics

Mathematics

Probability theory: Topics in probability theory

Related concepts (32)

Probability distribution

In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is the mathematical function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of different possible outcomes for an experiment. It is a mathematical description of a random phenomenon in terms of its sample space and the probabilities of events (subsets of the sample space). For instance, if X is used to denote the outcome of a coin toss ("the experiment"), then the probability distribution of X would take the value 0.5 (1 in 2 or 1/2) for X = heads, and 0.

Prior probability

A prior probability distribution of an uncertain quantity, often simply called the prior, is its assumed probability distribution before some evidence is taken into account. For example, the prior could be the probability distribution representing the relative proportions of voters who will vote for a particular politician in a future election. The unknown quantity may be a parameter of the model or a latent variable rather than an observable variable.

Normalization (statistics)

In statistics and applications of statistics, normalization can have a range of meanings. In the simplest cases, normalization of ratings means adjusting values measured on different scales to a notionally common scale, often prior to averaging. In more complicated cases, normalization may refer to more sophisticated adjustments where the intention is to bring the entire probability distributions of adjusted values into alignment. In the case of normalization of scores in educational assessment, there may be an intention to align distributions to a normal distribution.

Probability measure

In mathematics, a probability measure is a real-valued function defined on a set of events in a probability space that satisfies measure properties such as countable additivity. The difference between a probability measure and the more general notion of measure (which includes concepts like area or volume) is that a probability measure must assign value 1 to the entire probability space.

Random matrix

In probability theory and mathematical physics, a random matrix is a matrix-valued random variable—that is, a matrix in which some or all elements are random variables. Many important properties of physical systems can be represented mathematically as matrix problems. For example, the thermal conductivity of a lattice can be computed from the dynamical matrix of the particle-particle interactions within the lattice. In nuclear physics, random matrices were introduced by Eugene Wigner to model the nuclei of heavy atoms.

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