Structural identification with systematic errors and unknown uncertainty dependencies

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A Bayesian data assimilation framework for lake 3D hydrodynamic models with a physics-preserving particle filtering method using SPUX-MITgcm v1

Firat Ozdemir, Damien Bouffard, Camille Roland Marie Minaudo

We present a Bayesian inference for a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model of Lake Geneva with stochastic weather forcing and high-frequency observational datasets. This is achieved by coupling a Bayesian inference package, SPUX, with a hydrodynamics packa ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2022

Multivariate time series forecasting for freeway networks

Semin Kwak

This dissertation introduces traffic forecasting methods for different network configurations and data availability. Chapter 2 focuses on single freeway cases. Although its topology is simple, the non-linearity of traffic features makes this prediction sti ...

EPFL2022

Improved framework to estimate travel time and derived distributions in hydrological control volumes

Mitra Asadollahi

Crossing properties of soil saturation, defined as the duration and excursion of soil saturation below and above certain thresholds, are key variables to ecosystem functioning and evolution by primarily influencing the plant and soil microbes physiological ...

EPFL2022

Convex Quantization Preserves Logconcavity

Pol del Aguila Pla, Aleix Boquet I Pujadas

A logconcave likelihood is as important to proper statistical inference as a convex cost function is important to variational optimization. Quantization is often disregarded when writing likelihood models, ignoring the limitations of the physical detectors ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2022

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

NIR Fluorescence lifetime macroscopic imaging with a time-gated SPAD camera

Edoardo Charbon, Claudio Bruschini, Arin Can Ülkü

The performance of SwissSPAD2 (SS2), a large scale, widefield time-gated CMOS SPAD imager developed for fluorescence lifetime imaging, has recently been described in the context of visible range and fluorescence lifetime imaging microscopy (FLIM) of dyes w ...

SPIE-INT SOC OPTICAL ENGINEERING2022

Improved Inference On Risk Measures For Univariate Extremes

Anthony Christopher Davison, Léo Raymond-Belzile

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether higher-order approxima ...

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS-IMS2022

Predictive Analysis of Errors During Robot-Mediated Gamified Training

Pierre Dillenbourg, Arzu Güneysu Özgür

This paper presents our approach to predicting future error-related events in a robot-mediated gamified phys- ical training activity for stroke patients. The ability to predict future error under such conditions suggests the existence of distinguishable fe ...

IEEE2022

Continuous corrected particle number concentration data in 10 sec resolution, measured in the Swiss aerosol container during MOSAiC 2019/2020

Julia Schmale, Ivo Fabio Beck

This dataset contains corrected particle number concentration data measured during the year long MOSAiC expedition from October 2019 to September 2020. The measurement was performed in the Swiss aerosol container on the D-deck of Research Vessel Polarstern ...

Zenodo2022