Publication

Forecasting Uncertainty in Electricity Demand

Publications associées (29)

Network time series forecasting in photovoltaics power production

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power production is crucial for the integration of more renewable energy sources into the power grid. PV power production is highly intermittent, due to the stochastic cloud behaviour and cloud dynamics. Previous w ...

EPFL2024

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

Victor Panaretos, Laya Ghodrati

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Intermediate complexity atmospheric modeling in complex terrain: is it right?

Michael Lehning, Dylan Stewart Reynolds, Michael Haugeneder

Dynamic downscaling of atmospheric forcing data to the hectometer resolution has shown increases in accuracy for landsurface models, but at great computational cost. Here we present a validation of a novel intermediate complexity atmospheric model, HICAR, ...

Frontiers Media Sa2024

TIC-TAC: A Framework for Improved Covariance Estimation in Deep Heteroscedastic Regression

Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Megh Hiren Shukla

Deep heteroscedastic regression involves jointly optimizing the mean and covariance of the predicted distribution using the negative log-likelihood. However, recent works show that this may result in sub-optimal convergence due to the challenges associated ...

2024

Airborne sensor fusion: Expected accuracy and behavior of a concurrent adjustment

Jan Skaloud, Davide Antonio Cucci, Aurélien Arnaud Brun, Kyriaki Mouzakidou

Tightly-coupled sensor orientation, i.e. the simultaneous processing of temporal (GNSS and raw inertial) and spatial (image and lidar) constraints in a common adjustment, has demonstrated significant improvement in the quality of attitude determination wit ...

2024

GreenEVT: Greensboro Electric Vehicle Testbed

Nils Gustav Nilsson

The ongoing electrification of the transportation fleet will increase the load on the electric power grid. Since both the transportation network and the power grid already experience periods of significant stress, joint analyses of both infrastructures wil ...

Ieee-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc2024

Iterative removal of sources to model the turbulent electromotive force

Jennifer Waltraud Schober, Abhijit Bhausaheb Bendre

We describe a novel method to compute the components of dynamo tensors from direct magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations. Our method relies upon an extension and generalization of the standard H & ouml;gbom CLEAN algorithm widely used in radio astronomy to ...

Oxford Univ Press2024

Functional-Basis Analysis of Non-Stationary Signals in Modern Power Grids: Theory and Implementation in Embedded Systems

Alexandra Cameron Karpilow

Situational awareness strategies are essential for the reliable and secure operation of the electric power grid which represents critical infrastructure in modern society. With the rise of converter-interfaced renewable generation and the consequent shift ...

EPFL2024

Coupling a recurrent neural network to SPAD TCSPC systems for real-time fluorescence lifetime imaging

Claudio Bruschini, Edoardo Charbon, Andrei Ardelean, Paul Mos, Yang Lin

Fluorescence lifetime imaging (FLI) has been receiving increased attention in recent years as a powerful diagnostic technique in biological and medical research. However, existing FLI systems often suffer from a tradeoff between processing speed, accuracy, ...

Nature Portfolio2024