Publications associées à Modelling across extremal dependence classes

Extensions of Peer Prediction Incentive Mechanisms

As large, data-driven artificial intelligence models become ubiquitous, guaranteeing high data quality is imperative for constructing models. Crowdsourcing, community sensing, and data filtering have long been the standard approaches to guaranteeing or imp ...

EPFL2024

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. ...

EPFL2023

Nonparametric estimation for SDE with sparsely sampled paths: An FDA perspective

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on n independent replicates {Xi(t) : t is an element of [0 , 1]}13 d B(t), where alpha is an element of {0 , 1} a ...

Elsevier2024

Bayes-optimal Learning of Deep Random Networks of Extensive-width

Hugo Chao Cui, Florent Gérard Krzakala, Lenka Zdeborová

We consider the problem of learning a target function corresponding to a deep, extensive-width, non-linear neural network with random Gaussian weights. We consider the asymptotic limit where the number of samples, the input dimension and the network width ...

2023

Robust discrete choice models with t-distributed kernel errors

Michel Bierlaire, Prateek Bansal, Thomas Gasos

Outliers in discrete choice response data may result from misclassification and misreporting of the response variable and from choice behaviour that is inconsistent with modelling assumptions (e.g. random utility maximisation). In the presence of outliers, ...

2023

Parametric Estimation For Functional Autoregressive Processes On The Sphere

Alessia Caponera

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as weak consistency ...

2022

Experimental data-driven model predictive control of a hospital HVAC system during regular use

Christophe Salzmann, Colin Neil Jones, Emilio Maddalena

Herein we report a multi-zone, heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) control case study of an industrial plant responsible for cooling a hospital surgery center. The adopted approach to guaranteeing thermal comfort and reducing electrical energy ...

2022

Asymptotic Errors for Teacher-Student Convex Generalized Linear Models (Or: How to Prove Kabashima’s Replica Formula)

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Alia Abbara

There has been a recent surge of interest in the study of asymptotic reconstruction performance in various cases of generalized linear estimation problems in the teacher-student setting, especially for the case of i.i.d standard normal matrices. Here, we g ...

2022

Learning, compression, and leakage: Minimising classification error via meta-universal compression principles

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Fernando Rosas de Andraca

Learning and compression are driven by the common aim of identifying and exploiting statistical regularities in data, which opens the door for fertile collaboration between these areas. A promising group of compression techniques for learning scenarios is ...

IEEE2021

A Pareto Dominance Principle for Data-Driven Optimization

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter

We propose a statistically optimal approach to construct data-driven decisions for stochastic optimization problems. Fundamentally, a data-driven decision is simply a function that maps the available training data to a feasible action. It can always be exp ...

2024

Population pharmacokinetic model selection assisted by machine learning

Jan Sickmann Hesthaven, Nadia Terranova

A fit-for-purpose structural and statistical model is the first major requirement in population pharmacometric model development. In this manuscript we discuss how this complex and computationally intensive task could benefit from supervised machine learni ...

SPRINGER/PLENUM PUBLISHERS2022

Statistical limits of high-dimensional inference problems

Clément Dominique Luneau

This thesis focuses on two kinds of statistical inference problems in signal processing and data science. The first problem is the estimation of a structured informative tensor from the observation of a noisy tensor in which it is buried. The structure com ...

EPFL2021

Scattering Map for the Vlasov–Poisson System

Klaus Martin Widmayer

We construct (modified) scattering operators for the Vlasov–Poisson system in three dimensions, mapping small asymptotic dynamics as t→−∞ to asymptotic dynamics as t→+∞. The main novelty is the construction of modified wave operators, but we also obtain a ...

2023

Inference on the Angular Distribution of Extremes

Claudio Andri Semadeni

The spectral distribution plays a key role in the statistical modelling of multivariate extremes, as it defines the dependence structure of multivariate extreme-value distributions and characterizes the limiting distribution of the relative sizes of the co ...

EPFL2020

Non-Exponential Variations for Classical Results in First Passage Percolation

Jacques Saliba

We study in this thesis the asymptotic behavior of optimal paths on a random graph model, the configuration model, for which we assign continuous random positive weights on its edges. We start by describing the asymptotic behavior of the diameter and the f ...

EPFL2020

Multivariate extremes over a random number of observations

Simone Padoan, Stefano Rizzelli

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated data, such as max ...

WILEY2021

The probability of intransitivity in dice and close elections

Jan Hazla

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for n-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to 1/2, that a throw from one die is higher than the other. We ...

2020

Contributions to Likelihood-Based Modelling of Extreme Values

Léo Raymond-Belzile

xtreme value analysis is concerned with the modelling of extreme events such as floods and heatwaves, which can have large impacts. Statistical modelling can be useful to better assess risks even if, due to scarcity of measurements, there is inherently ver ...

EPFL2019

On flow duration curve modelling in Alpine catchments

Ana Clara Pereira Barbosa Santos

Mountain regions are considered to be the natural "water towers" of the world due to their importance as sources of many rivers. Reliable tools to estimate the availability and variability of streamflows in such regions are still rare. In this context, the ...

EPFL2019

Recovering covariance from functional fragments

Victor Panaretos, Marie-Hélène Descary

We consider nonparametric estimation of a covariance function on the unit square, given a sample of discretely observed fragments of functional data. When each sample path is observed only on a subinterval of length , one has no statistical information on ...

2019