Publications associées à Alpha-NML Universal Predictors

Stability: a search for structure

In this thesis we study stability from several viewpoints. After covering the practical importance, the rich history and the ever-growing list of manifestations of stability, we study the following. (i) (Statistical identification of stable dynamical syste ...

EPFL2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

Anisotropic Adaptive Finite Elements for a p-Laplacian Problem

Marco Picasso, Paride Passelli

The p-Laplacian problem -del & sdot; ((mu + |del u|(p-2))del u) = f is considered, where mu is a given positive number. An anisotropic a posteriori residual-based error estimator is presented. The error estimator is shown to be equivalent, up to higher ord ...

Walter De Gruyter Gmbh2024

A Method of Moments Estimator for Interacting Particle Systems and their Mean Field Limit

Andrea Zanoni, Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction, and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by solving a linear sys ...

Siam Publications2024

Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

Farzad Pourkamali

A key challenge across many disciplines is to extract meaningful information from data which is often obscured by noise. These datasets are typically represented as large matrices. Given the current trend of ever-increasing data volumes, with datasets grow ...

EPFL2024

Statistical Inference for Inverse Problems: From Sparsity-Based Methods to Neural Networks

Pakshal Narendra Bohra

In inverse problems, the task is to reconstruct an unknown signal from its possibly noise-corrupted measurements. Penalized-likelihood-based estimation and Bayesian estimation are two powerful statistical paradigms for the resolution of such problems. They ...

EPFL2024

Reliable data-driven decision-making through optimal transport

Bahar Taskesen

Decision-making permeates every aspect of human and societal development, from individuals' daily choices to the complex decisions made by communities and institutions. Central to effective decision-making is the discipline of optimization, which seeks th ...

EPFL2024

An equilibrated flux a posteriori error estimator for defeaturing problems

Ondine Gabrielle Chanon, Annalisa Buffa, Rafael Vazquez Hernandez, Denise Grappein

An a posteriori error estimator based on an equilibrated flux reconstruction is proposed for defeaturing problems in the context of finite element discretizations. Defeaturing consists in the simplification of a geometry by removing features that are consi ...

2023

Distributional Regression and Autoregression via Optimal Transport

Laya Ghodrati

We present a framework for performing regression when both covariate and response are probability distributions on a compact and convex subset of

\R^d

. Our regression model is based on the theory of optimal transport and links the conditional Fr'echet m ...

EPFL2023

Towards a multiscale point cloud structural similarity metric

Touradj Ebrahimi, Davi Nachtigall Lazzarotto

Point clouds are effective data structures for the rep- resentation of three-dimensional media and hence adopted in a wide range of practical applications. In many cases, the portrayed data is expected to be visualized by humans. After acquisition, point c ...

IEEE2023

Regularization for distributionally robust state estimation and prediction

Jean-Sébastien Hubert Brouillon, Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate, Florian Dörfler

The increasing availability of sensing techniques provides a great opportunity for engineers to design state estimation methods, which are optimal for the system under observation and the observed noise patterns. However, these patterns often do not fulfil ...

2023

Functional data analysis with rough sample paths?

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

Functional data are typically modeled as sample paths of smooth stochastic processes in order to mitigate the fact that they are often observed discretely and noisily, occasionally irregularly and sparsely. The smoothness assumption is imposed to allow for ...

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2024

OASIS: Optimisation-based Activity Scheduling with Integrated Simultaneous choice dimensions

Michel Bierlaire, Janody Pougala, Timothy Michael Hillel

Activity-based models offer the potential of a far deeper understanding of daily mobility behaviour than trip-based models. However, activity-based models used both in research and practice have often relied on applying sequential choice models between sub ...

2023

Nonparametric estimation for SDE with sparsely sampled paths: An FDA perspective

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on n independent replicates {Xi(t) : t is an element of [0 , 1]}13 d B(t), where alpha is an element of {0 , 1} a ...

Elsevier2024

Unbiased Likelihood Estimation of Wright–Fisher Diffusion Processes

Fabio Nobile

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright–Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation techniques that are of s ...

Springer Cham2024

ReLU Neural Network Galerkin BEM

Fernando José Henriquez Barraza

We introduce Neural Network (NN for short) approximation architectures for the numerical solution of Boundary Integral Equations (BIEs for short). We exemplify the proposed NN approach for the boundary reduction of the potential problem in two spatial dime ...

SPRINGER/PLENUM PUBLISHERS2023

Causal inference with recurrent and competing events

Matias Janvin, Mats Julius Stensrud, Pal Christie Ryalen

Many research questions concern treatment effects on outcomes that can recur several times in the same individual. For example, medical researchers are interested in treatment effects on hospitalizations in heart failure patients and sports injuries in ath ...

SPRINGER2023

A Statistical Framework to Investigate the Optimality of Signal-Reconstruction Methods

Michaël Unser, Pakshal Narendra Bohra, Pol del Aguila Pla

We present a statistical framework to benchmark the performance of reconstruction algorithms for linear inverse problems, in particular, neural-network-based methods that require large quantities of training data. We generate synthetic signals as realizati ...

2023

An Unbiased Method of Measuring the Ratio of Two Data Sets

Jean-Paul Richard Kneib, Huanyuan Shan

In certain cases of astronomical data analysis, the meaningful physical quantity to extract is the ratio R between two data sets. Examples include the lensing ratio, the interloper rate in spectroscopic redshift samples, and the decay rate of gravitational ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2023

Data-driven modeling of beam loss in the LHC

Tatiana Pieloni, Michael Schenk, Loïc Thomas Davies Coyle, Ekaterina Krymova

In the Large Hadron Collider, the beam losses are continuously measured for machine protection. By design, most of the particle losses occur in the collimation system, where the particles with high oscilla-tion amplitudes or large momentum error are scrape ...

FRONTIERS MEDIA SA2023