Publications associées à Filtered data and eigenfunction estimators for statistical inference of multiscale and interacting diffusion processes

Publications associées (34)

What can radars tell us about snowfall microphysics? Insights from a Markov chain Monte-Carlo approach

Alexis Berne, Anne-Claire Marie Billault--Roux

Multi-frequency and Doppler spectral radars are valuable tools for retrieving information on the microphysics of precipitation, particularly snowfall. However, estimating microphysical properties from radar measurements is an ill-posed problem, i.e., diffe ...

American Meteorological Society2025

Towards Self-Supervised Covariance Estimation in Deep Heteroscedastic Regression

Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Megh Hiren Shukla

Deep heteroscedastic regression models the mean and covariance of the target distribution through neural networks. The challenge arises from heteroscedasticity, which implies that the covariance is sample dependent and is often unknown. Consequently, recen ...

ICLR2025

Improved bounds and inference on optimal regimes

Mats Julius Stensrud, Aaron Leor Sarvet, Julien David Laurendeau

Point identification of causal effects requires strong assumptions that are unreasonable in many practical settings. However, bounds on these effects can often be derived under plausible assumptions. Even when these bounds are wide or cover null effects, t ...

Informa UK Limited2025

eLife Assessment: A differentiable Gillespie algorithm for simulating chemical kinetics, parameter estimation, and designing synthetic biological circuits

Anne-Florence Raphaëlle Bitbol

eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd2025

Crypto market betas: the limits of predictability and hedging

Thomas Alois Weber, Michael Mark

This article analyzes the predictability of market betas concerning cryptocurrency assets and evaluates the efficiency of beta-hedged, market-neutral portfolios. We forecast 1-year-ahead market betas using various estimating methods, including ordinary lea ...

Springer Science and Business Media LLC2025

A Method of Moments Estimator for Interacting Particle Systems and their Mean Field Limit

Andrea Zanoni

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction, and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by solving a linear sys ...

Siam Publications2024

Extensions of Peer Prediction Incentive Mechanisms

Adam Julian Richardson

As large, data-driven artificial intelligence models become ubiquitous, guaranteeing high data quality is imperative for constructing models. Crowdsourcing, community sensing, and data filtering have long been the standard approaches to guaranteeing or imp ...

EPFL2024

Random matrix methods for high-dimensional machine learning models

Antoine Philippe Michel Bodin

In the rapidly evolving landscape of machine learning research, neural networks stand out with their ever-expanding number of parameters and reliance on increasingly large datasets. The financial cost and computational resources required for the training p ...

EPFL2024

Generalized Bradley-Terry Models for Score Estimation from Paired Comparisons

Julien René Fageot, Le Nguyen Hoang, Sadegh Farhadkhani, Oscar Jean Olivier Villemaud

Many applications, e.g. in content recommendation, sports, or recruitment, leverage the comparisons of alternatives to score those alternatives. The classical Bradley-Terry model and its variants have been widely used to do so. The historical model conside ...

AAAI Press2024

Stability: a search for structure

Wouter Jongeneel

In this thesis we study stability from several viewpoints. After covering the practical importance, the rich history and the ever-growing list of manifestations of stability, we study the following. (i) (Statistical identification of stable dynamical syste ...

EPFL2024

Anisotropic Adaptive Finite Elements for a p-Laplacian Problem

Marco Picasso, Paride Passelli

The p-Laplacian problem -del & sdot; ((mu + |del u|(p-2))del u) = f is considered, where mu is a given positive number. An anisotropic a posteriori residual-based error estimator is presented. The error estimator is shown to be equivalent, up to higher ord ...

Walter De Gruyter Gmbh2024

Graph generative deep learning models with an application to circuit topologies

Igor Krawczuk

Modern integrated circuits are tiny yet incredibly complex technological artifacts, composed of millions and billions of individual structures working in unison. Managing their complexity and facilitating their design drove part of the co-evolution of mode ...

EPFL2024

Experimental characterization and stochastic models for time-dependent rupture of thin-ply composite laminates

Kanthasamy Ubamanyu

Thin-laminate composites with thicknesses below 200 mu m hold significant promise for future, larger, and lighter deployable structures. This paper presents a study of the time-dependent failure behavior of thin carbon-fiber laminates under bending, focusi ...

2024

Optimal Depth of Discharge for Electric Batteries with Robust Capacity-Shrinkage Estimator

Thomas Alois Weber

A user’s benefit from the energy stored in a battery over its lifetime depends on the time-varying characteristics of the battery, which are in turn affected by the chosen usage behavior. Both the capacity shrinkage and the number of lifetime cycles are st ...

2024

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

Victor Panaretos, Laya Ghodrati

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Reliable data-driven decision-making through optimal transport

Bahar Taskesen

Decision-making permeates every aspect of human and societal development, from individuals' daily choices to the complex decisions made by communities and institutions. Central to effective decision-making is the discipline of optimization, which seeks th ...

EPFL2024

Fair real-time control of energy storage systems in active distribution networks in the presence of uncertainties

Plouton Grammatikos

The thesis explores the issue of fairness in the real-time (RT) control of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) hosted in active distribution networks (ADNs) in the presence of uncertainties by proposing and experimentally validating appropriate control ...

EPFL2024

ZigZag: Universal Sampling-free Uncertainty Estimation Through Two-Step Inference

Minh Hieu Lê, Nikita Durasov

Whereas the ability of deep networks to produce useful predictions on many kinds of data has been amply demonstrated, estimating the reliability of these predictions remains challenging. Sampling approaches such as MC-Dropout and Deep Ensembles have emerge ...

2024

Sensitivity Analysis of the Lumped Thermal Model of the EU 170 GHz Gyrotron Magnetron Injection Gun

Jean-Philippe Hogge, Francisco Sanchez

The ITER Electron Cyclotron Resonance Heating and Current Drive (ECRH&CD) system relies on 1 MW 170 GHz Gyrotrons to provide the mm-wave power needed for plasma heating, current drive, and magneto-hydrodynamic control. The design and modeling of the contro ...

Ieee-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc2024

OASIS: Optimisation-based Activity Scheduling with Integrated Simultaneous choice dimensions

Michel Bierlaire, Timothy Michael Hillel, Janody Pougala

Activity-based models offer the potential of a far deeper understanding of daily mobility behaviour than trip-based models. However, activity-based models used both in research and practice have often relied on applying sequential choice models between sub ...

2023