Publications associées à A Bayesian view of doubly robust causal inference

Publications associées (34)

Multimodal Prediction Framework for Total Shoulder Arthroplasty Outcomes: Integrating Morphological, Musculoskeletal, Finite Element, and Bayesian Causal Models

This thesis aimed to estimate the effect of demographic and biomechanical preoperative variables on total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) outcomes. To achieve this, various biomechanical variables were calculated using a clinical database comprising normal and ...

EPFL2025

A positivity robust strategy to study effects of switching treatment

Mats Julius Stensrud

In studies of medical treatments, individuals often experience post-treatment events that predict their future outcomes. In this work, we study how to use initial observations of a recurrent event - a type of post-treatment event - to offer updated treatme ...

2025

PolyCLEAN: Atomic optimization for super-resolution imaging and uncertainty estimation in radio interferometry

Julien René Fageot, Matthieu Martin Jean-André Simeoni, Sepand Kashani, Adrian Thibault Etienne Jarret, Joan Rue Queralt

Context. Imaging in radio interferometry requires solving an ill-posed noisy inverse problem, for which the most adopted algorithm is the original CLEAN algorithm and its variants. Alternative explicit optimization methods have gained increasing attention, ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2025

s-ID: Causal Effect Identification in a Sub-Population

Amir Mohammad Aboueimehrizi, Negar Kiyavash, Ehsan Mokhtarian

Causal inference in a sub-population involves identifying the causal effect of an intervention on a specific subgroup, which is distinguished from the whole population through the influence of systematic biases in the sampling process. However, ignoring th ...

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence2024

Stochastic pairwise preference convergence in Bayesian agents

Max-Olivier Hongler

Beliefs inform the behaviour of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack critical theory to ...

2024

Exploring Defeasibility in Causal Reasoning

Boi Faltings, Antoine Bosselut, Debjit Paul, Shaobo Cui, Mahammad Ismayilzada, Lazar Milikic

Defeasibility in causal reasoning implies that the causal relationship between cause and effect can be strengthened or weakened. Namely, the causal strength between cause and effect should increase or decrease with the incorporation of strengthening argume ...

2024

Deciphering the nature of cell state transitions in single cells using quantitative modeling of temporal dynamics

Alex Russell Lederer

Cells are the smallest operational units of living systems. Through synthesis of various biomolecules and exchange of signals with the environment, cells tightly regulate their composition to realize a specific functional state. The transformation of a cel ...

EPFL2024

Boosting likelihood learning with event reweighting

Andrea Wulzer, Alfredo Glioti, Siyu Chen

Extracting maximal information from experimental data requires access to the likelihood function, which however is never directly available for complex experiments like those performed at high energy colliders. Theoretical predictions are obtained in this ...

Springer Nature2024

A FEM modelling workflow to simulate THM effects in the rock around nuclear waste packages

Matthias Timothee Stanislas Wojnarowicz

High-level waste, stemming from nuclear electricity generation poses significant environmental and safety concerns. Currently, high-level wastes are stored in interim facilities needing constant monitoring and waiting for a definitive solution. Deep geolog ...

EPFL2024

ZigZag: Universal Sampling-free Uncertainty Estimation Through Two-Step Inference

Minh Hieu Lê, Nikita Durasov

Whereas the ability of deep networks to produce useful predictions on many kinds of data has been amply demonstrated, estimating the reliability of these predictions remains challenging. Sampling approaches such as MC-Dropout and Deep Ensembles have emerge ...

2024

Graph generative deep learning models with an application to circuit topologies

Igor Krawczuk

Modern integrated circuits are tiny yet incredibly complex technological artifacts, composed of millions and billions of individual structures working in unison. Managing their complexity and facilitating their design drove part of the co-evolution of mode ...

EPFL2024

Technosignatures Longevity and Lindy's Law

Claudio Grimaldi

The probability of detecting technosignatures (i.e., evidence of technological activity beyond Earth) increases with their longevity, or the time interval over which they manifest. Therefore, the assumed distribution of longevities has some bearing on the ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2024

Using Negative Control Populations to Assess Unmeasured Confounding and Direct Effects

Mats Julius Stensrud

Sometimes treatment effects are absent in a subgroup of the population. For example, penicillin has no effect on severe symptoms in individuals infected by resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and codeine has no effect on pain in individuals with certain polym ...

Lippincott Williams & Wilkins2024

Estimation and control under uncertainty with application to power systems

Jean-Sébastien Hubert Brouillon

The transition to sustainable energy demands a fundamental redesign of the electrical grid, especially at the distribution level. With the increasing deployment of distributed energy resources, the development of reliable models, accurate state estimation ...

EPFL2024

OASIS: An integrated optimisation framework for activity scheduling

Janody Pougala

Activity-based models offer the potential for a far deeper understanding of daily mobility behaviour than trip-based models. Based on the fundamental assumption that travel demand is derived from the need to do activities, they are flexible tools that aim ...

EPFL2024

Content Moderation in Online Platforms

Manoel Horta Ribeiro

A critical role of online platforms like Facebook, Wikipedia, YouTube, Amazon, Doordash, and Tinder is to moderate content. Interventions like banning users or deleting comments are carried out thousands of times daily and can potentially improve our onlin ...

EPFL2024

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. ...

EPFL2023

An Unbiased Method of Measuring the Ratio of Two Data Sets

Jean-Paul Richard Kneib, Huanyuan Shan

In certain cases of astronomical data analysis, the meaningful physical quantity to extract is the ratio R between two data sets. Examples include the lensing ratio, the interloper rate in spectroscopic redshift samples, and the decay rate of gravitational ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2023

Analysis of a Class of Multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms Based on Independent Metropolis–Hastings

Fabio Nobile, Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo(ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis--Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function involves solving ...

2023

Robust Outlier Rejection for 3D Registration with Variational Bayes

Mathieu Salzmann, Jiancheng Yang, Zheng Dang, Zhen Wei

Learning-based outlier (mismatched correspondence) rejection for robust 3D registration generally formulates the outlier removal as an inlier/outlier classification problem. The core for this to be successful is to learn the discriminative inlier/outlier f ...

Ieee Computer Soc2023