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Concept

Épidémie

Publications associées (25)

Epidemics in Venice: On the Small or Large Nature of the Pre-modern World

Giovanni Colavizza

Marvel et al. [12] recently argued that the pre-modern contact world was physically and, by set inclusion, socially not small-world. Since the Black Death and similar plagues used to spread in well-defined waves, the argument goes, the underlying contact n ...

Springer International Publishing2016

Real-time projections of cholera outbreaks through data assimilation and rainfall forecasting

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Flavio Finger, Damiano Pasetto

Although treatment for cholera is well-known and cheap, outbreaks in epidemic regions still exact high death tolls mostly due to the unpreparedness of health care infrastructures to face unforeseen emergencies. In this context, mathematical models for the ...

Elsevier2016

The temporal patterns of disease severity and prevalence in schistosomiasis

Andrea Rinaldo, Lorenzo Mari

Schistosomiasis is one of the most widespread public health problems in the world. In this work, we introduce an eco-epidemiological model for its transmission and dynamics with the purpose of explaining both intra-and inter-annual fluctuations of disease ...

American Institute of Physics2015

Detection of Vibrio cholerae O1 and O139 in environmental waters of rural Bangladesh: a flow-cytometry-based field trial

Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Lorenzo Righetto

Presence of Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the waters of the rural area of Matlab, Bangladesh, was investigated with quantitative measurements performed with a portable flow cytometer. The relevance of this work relates to the testing of a field ...

Cambridge University Press2015

Frequentist estimation of an epidemic's spreading potential when observations are scarce

Victor Panaretos, Andrea Kraus

We consider the problem of inferring the potential of an epidemic for escalating into a pandemic on the basis of limited observations in its initial stages. Classical results of Becker & Hasofer (J. R. Statist. Soc. B, 59, 415-29) illustrate that frequenti ...

Oxford University Press2014