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Concept

Probabilité a posteriori

Publications associées (29)

Gibbs sampling the posterior of neural networks

Lenka Zdeborová, Emanuele Troiani, Giovanni Piccioli

In this paper, we study sampling from a posterior derived from a neural network. We propose a new probabilistic model consisting of adding noise at every pre- and post-activation in the network, arguing that the resulting posterior can be sampled using an ...

Iop Publishing Ltd2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

Paolo Pegolo

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

An Unbiased Method of Measuring the Ratio of Two Data Sets

Jean-Paul Richard Kneib, Huanyuan Shan

In certain cases of astronomical data analysis, the meaningful physical quantity to extract is the ratio R between two data sets. Examples include the lensing ratio, the interloper rate in spectroscopic redshift samples, and the decay rate of gravitational ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2023

Density estimation in RKHS with application to Korobov spaces in high dimensions

Fabio Nobile, Yoshihito Kazashi

A kernel method for estimating a probability density function from an independent and identically distributed sample drawn from such density is presented. Our estimator is a linear combination of kernel functions, the coefficients of which are determined b ...

2023

Euclid preparation: XXVIII. Forecasts for ten different higher-order weak lensing statistics

Maurizio Martinelli, Frédéric Courbin, Gianluca Castignani, Austin Chandler Peel

Recent cosmic shear studies have shown that higher-order statistics (HOS) developed by independent teams now outperform standard two-point estimators in terms of statistical precision thanks to their sensitivity to the non-Gaussian features of large-scale ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2023

Resource aware pricing for electric vehicle charging

Nils Gustav Nilsson

Electric vehicle charging facilities offer their capacity constrained electric charge and parking to users for a fee. As electric vehicle adoption grows, so too does the potential for excessive resource utilization. In this paper, we study how prices set b ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2023

Tumor control and radiobiological fingerprint after Gamma Knife radiosurgery for posterior fossa meningiomas: A series of 46 consecutive cases

Constantin Tuleasca

Introduction: Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKR) can be a valuable treatment option for posterior cranial fossa meningiomas (PCFM). We retrospectively analyzed outcomes of GKR for PCFM.& nbsp;Methods: Were included forty-six patients with 47 PCFM. Primary endp ...

2022

Quantifying uncertain system outputs via the multi-level Monte Carlo method --- distribution and robustness measures

Fabio Nobile, Sebastian Krumscheid, Sundar Subramaniam Ganesh, Quentin Olivier Martin Ayoul--Guilmard

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential models by the MLM ...

2023

An Efficient Sampling Algorithm for Non-smooth Composite Potentials

Nicolas Henri Bernard Flammarion

We consider the problem of sampling from a density of the form p(x) ? exp(-f (x) - g(x)), where f : Rd-+ R is a smooth function and g : R-d-+ R is a convex and Lipschitz function. We propose a new algorithm based on the Metropolis-Hastings framework. Under ...

Microtome Publishing2022

Bayesian Inversion for Nonlinear Imaging Models Using Deep Generative Priors

Michaël Unser, Thanh-An Michel Pham, Pakshal Narendra Bohra, Jonathan Yuelin Dong

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior distribution of the im ...

2022

Removing Algorithmic Discrimination (With Minimal Individual Error)

Rachid Guerraoui, El Mahdi El Mhamdi, Alexandre David Olivier Maurer, Le Nguyen Hoang

We address for the first time the problem of correcting group discriminations within a score function, while minimizing the individual error. Each group is described by a probability density function on the set of profiles. We first solve the problem analy ...

2022

On Approximations of Data-Driven Chance Constrained Programs over Wasserstein Balls

Daniel Kuhn, Wolfram Wiesemann

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters affec ...

2023

Using wavelets to capture deviations from smoothness in galaxy-scale strong lenses

Frédéric Courbin, Georgios Vernardos, Aymeric Alexandre Galan, Austin Chandler Peel

Modeling the mass distribution of galaxy-scale strong gravitational lenses is a task of increasing difficulty. The high-resolution and depth of imaging data now available render simple analytical forms ineffective at capturing lens structures spanning a la ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2022

Towards Interactions Through Differentiable-Non-Differentiable Scale Transitions In Scale Relativity Theory

Maria-Alexandra Paun

It is shown that, in the framework of Scale Relativity Theory, correlations of type informational entropy/cross entropy - probability density, in the description of the dynamics of any complex system, can be perceived as interactions. Explaining these inte ...

UNIV POLITEHNICA BUCHAREST, SCI BULL2021

Revisiting the Calculation of the Early Time HEMP Conducted Environment

Farhad Rachidi-Haeri, Nicolas Mora Parra, Carlos Alberto Romero Romero

The early time high altitude electromagnetic pulse conducted environment calculation is revisited by using the transmission line (TL) theory and including high-frequency corrections that were not present in the earlier studies. Waveform salient parameters, ...

2021

Bayesian Decision Making in Groups is Hard

Jan Hazla

We study the computations that Bayesian agents undertake when exchanging opinions over a network. The agents act repeatedly on their private information and take myopic actions that maximize their expected utility according to a fully rational posterior be ...

INFORMS2021

Optimal lower bounds on hitting probabilities for non-linear systems of stochastic fractional heat equations

Robert Dalang, Fei Pu

We consider a system of d non-linear stochastic fractional heat equations in spatial dimension 1 driven by multiplicative d-dimensional space-time white noise. We establish a sharp Gaussian-type upper bound on the two-point probability density function of ...

ELSEVIER2021

Quantum conformance test

Elena Losero

We introduce a protocol addressing the conformance test problem, which consists in determining whether a process under test conforms to a reference one. We consider a process to be characterized by the set of end products it produces, which is generated ac ...

AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE2021

Spatial statistics of superposition of two uncorrelated speckle patterns with polarization diversity

Abhijit Roy

A detailed theoretical and experimental study on the effect of the superposition of uncorrelated speckle patterns with polarization diversity on the spatial statistics of the superposed speckle pattern is presented. It is shown that depending on the mutual ...

Elsevier2021

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Markovian Data

Daniel Kuhn, Tobias Sutter, Mengmeng Li

We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with d states. We propose a data-driven d ...

JMLR-JOURNAL MACHINE LEARNING RESEARCH2021