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Concept

Théorie autrichienne du cycle des affaires

Publications associées (11)

Essays on Mortgage Supply in a Low Rate Environment and Gender Effects of Covid-19

Yu Wu

After the financial crisis, policy rates in the major advanced economies have moved downwards to near/below zero. Some countries have experienced an increase in house prices and an expansion of mortgages. Also, there have been considerable changes in the m ...

EPFL2021

Financial Stability and the Macroeconomy : the Role of Bank Liquidity Regulation and Deposit Insurance

Corinne Dubois

The financial crisis of 2007-2009 drew attention to the essential role of banks for the macroeconomy and to the importance of having a resilient financial sector. A vulnerability in the financial sector spills over to the real economy and can drive it into ...

EPFL2018

Building up Resilience in a Pharmaceutical Supply Chain through Inventory, Dual Sourcing and Agility Capacity

Ralf Seifert, Florian Christopher Matthias Lücker

This paper is inspired by a risk management problem faced by a leading pharmaceutical company. Key operational risk mitigation measures include Risk Mitigation Inventory (RMI), Dual Sourcing and Agility Capacity. We study the relationship between these thr ...

2017

Expectations-driven cycles in the housing market

Luisa Lambertini

This paper explores the transmission of "news shocks" in a model of the housing market and shows that anticipated signals or beliefs of future macroeconomic developments can generate boom-bust cycles in the housing market and lead to business cycle fluctua ...

2017

The effects of business cycle and debt maturity on a firm's investment and default decisions

We propose a model that jointly determines the capital structure and investment decisions taking business cycle and debt maturity into account. It endogenously determines the triggers of investment/disinvestment and default, which depend on the state of th ...

Elsevier Science Bv2015

Macroeconomic conditions and a firm's investment decisions

We propose a model of a firm's reversible investment decision with macroeconomic conditions based on optimal switching of a diffusion regime. The switching costs and the cash flow generated from the firm depend on a business cycle alternating via a Markov ...

Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science2014

Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices

Luisa Lambertini

This paper studies the potential gains of monetary and macro-prudential policies that lean against house-price and credit cycles. We rely on a model that features Borrowers and Savers and allows for over-borrowing induced by news-shock-driven cycles. We fi ...

Elsevier2013

Tracking the US business cycle with a singular spectrum analysis

In this paper we resort to singular spectrum analysis to disentangle the US GDP into several underlying components of interest. The business cycle indicator yielded through this method is shown to bear a resemblance with band-pass filtered output, and our ...

Elsevier2012

Expectations-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market

Luisa Lambertini

This paper analyzes housing market boom-bust cycles driven by changes in households' expectations. We explore the role of expectations on productivity and other shocks originating from the housing market, the credit market and the conduct of monetary polic ...

Center for Fiscal Policy Working Paper Series2010

The sources of process innovation in user firms : an exploration of the antecedents and impact of non-R&D innovation and learning-by-doing

Previous research has shown that innovation can have various sources and different forms. Innovation can thus be developed by different types of organizations or individuals for several reasons, and it can be related to product or process technologies. One ...

EPFL2009

'I pay enough taxes already!' Applying economic voting models to environmental referendums

Philippe Thalmann, Nicholas Bornstein

Objectives. Models of economic voting have rarely been applied to referendum votes. We fill this gap by testing citizens’ voting behavior on environmental policy in relation to their perception of the business cycle. Thus, the study examines the personal, ...

2008