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Concept

Défaut souverain

Publications associées (18)

Monetary Independence And Rollover Crises

Jorge Mondragon Minero

This article shows that the inability to use monetary policy for macroeconomic stabilization leaves a government more vulnerable to a rollover crisis. We study a sovereign default model with self-fulfilling rollover crises, foreign currency debt, and nomin ...

OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC2022

Essays in Banking and Financial Regulation

Susanne Johanna Petronella Léonie Vissers

This thesis examines how banks choose their optimal capital structure and cash reserves in the presence of regulatory measures. The first chapter, titled Bank Capital Structure and Tail Risk, presents a bank capital structure model in which bank assets ...

EPFL2021

The sources of sovereign risk: a calibration based on Levy stochastic processes

Sylvain Jean Pascal Carré

Governments choose to issue risky or riskless debt depending on the nature of the stochastic process of output. We use Brownian motion and Poisson shocks a modeling method in the literature on corporate default known as Levy processes to approximate a deco ...

ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV2019

Three Essays in Banking and Finance

Damien Olivier Klossner

This thesis develops three models that study the motivation of various agents to take on debt, and the impact that excessive financial leverage can have on social welfare. In the chapter "Short-term Bank Leverage and the Value of Liquid Reserves", the ince ...

EPFL2019

Linear credit risk models

Damir Filipovic, Damien Edouard Ackerer

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors. The price of a CDS ...

2020

Debt enforcement, investment, and risk taking across countries

Erwan Morellec, Philip Valta

We argue that the prospect of an imperfect enforcement of debt contracts in default reduces shareholder-debtholder conflicts and induces leveraged firms to invest more and take on less risk as they approach financial distress. To test these predictions, we ...

2017

Polynomial models in finance

Damien Edouard Ackerer

This thesis presents new flexible dynamic stochastic models for the evolution of market prices and new methods for the valuation of derivatives. These models and methods build on the recently characterized class of polynomial jump-diffusion processes for w ...

EPFL2017

Mortgage Default in an Estimated Model of the U.S. Housing Market

Luisa Lambertini, Pinar Uysal, Victoria Nuguer

This paper models the housing sector, mortgages and endogenous default in a DSGE setting with nominal and real rigidities. We use data for the period 1981-2006 to estimate our model using Bayesian techniques. We analyze how an increase in risk in the mortg ...

2017

Essays in Dynamic Corporate Finance

Francesca Maria Zucchi

This thesis examines the effects of financing frictions on corporate decisions using dynamic models. Accounting for financing frictions helps reconcile a number of regularities that are hard to explain within the Modigliani-Miller framework. For instance, ...

EPFL2015

Modeling Credit Contagion via the Updating of Fragile Beliefs

Pierre Collin-Dufresne

We propose an equilibrium model for defaultable bonds that are subject to contagion risk. Contagion arises because agents with "fragile beliefs" are uncertain about the underlying economic state and its probability. Estimation on sovereign European credit ...

Oxford Univ Press Inc2015

Investment-based financing constraints and debt renegotiation

We consider how equity holders' bargaining power during financial distress influences the interactions between financing and investment decisions when the firm faces the upper limit of debt issuance. We obtain four results. First, weaker equity holders' ba ...

Elsevier Science Bv2015

Default And Systemic Risk In Equilibrium

Martin Larsson

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk-averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock, and a defaultable bond, whose prices are determined via equil ...

Wiley-Blackwell2015

Credit market frictions and capital structure dynamics

Semyon Malamud, Erwan Morellec, Julien Hugonnier

We study the implications of credit market frictions for the dynamics of corporate capital structure and the risk of default of corporations. To do so, we develop a dynamic capital structure model in which firms face uncertainty regarding their ability to ...

2015

Optimal incentives and securitization of defaultable assets

Semyon Malamud

We study optimal securitization in the presence of an initial moral hazard. A financial intermediary creates and then sells to outside investors defaultable assets, whose default risk is determined by the unobservable costly effort exerted by the intermedi ...

Elsevier2013

The term structure of interbank risk

Damir Filipovic

We infer a term structure of interbank risk from spreads between rates on interest rate swaps indexed to the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and overnight indexed swaps. We develop a tractable model of interbank risk to decompose the term structure i ...

Elsevier2013

Credit Market Frictions and Capital Structure Dynamics

Semyon Malamud, Erwan Morellec, Julien Hugonnier

2012

Do Prices Reveal the Presence of Informed Trading ?

Pierre Collin-Dufresne

Using a comprehensive sample of trades by Schedule 13D filers, who possess valuable private information when they accumulate stocks of targeted companies, this paper studies whether several liquidity measures reveal the presence of informed trading. The ev ...

2012

Corporate Finance, Asset Returns, and Credit Risk

Philip Valta

This dissertation consists of three chapters. The first chapter empirically investigates how the intensity of product market competition affects the cost of debt. Using a large sample of loans to publicly traded US manufacturing firms, the chapter provides ...

EPFL2010

Publications associées (18)