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Dynamics of Stochastically Blinking Systems. Part II: Asymptotic Properties

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Complexity analysis of stochastic gradient methods for PDE-constrained optimal control problems with uncertain parameters

Fabio Nobile, Sebastian Krumscheid, Matthieu Claude Martin

We consider the numerical approximation of an optimal control problem for an elliptic Partial Differential Equation (PDE) with random coefficients. Specifically, the control function is a deterministic, distributed forcing term that minimizes the expected ...

2021

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Polynomial Densities: Theory, Models and Algorithms

Daniel Kuhn

In distributionally robust optimization the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain, and a fictitious adversary, e.g., nature, chooses the worst distribution from within a known ambiguity set. A common shortcoming o ...

2020

The probability of intransitivity in dice and close elections

Jan Hazla

We study the phenomenon of intransitivity in models of dice and voting. First, we follow a recent thread of research for n-sided dice with pairwise ordering induced by the probability, relative to 1/2, that a throw from one die is higher than the other. We ...

2020

Non-Exponential Variations for Classical Results in First Passage Percolation

Jacques Saliba

We study in this thesis the asymptotic behavior of optimal paths on a random graph model, the configuration model, for which we assign continuous random positive weights on its edges. We start by describing the asymptotic behavior of the diameter and the f ...

EPFL2020

A t-distribution based operator for enhancing out of distribution robustness of neural network classifiers

Philip Neil Garner

Neural Network (NN) classifiers can assign extreme probabilities to samples that have not appeared during training (out-of-distribution samples) resulting in erroneous and unreliable predictions. One of the causes for this unwanted behaviour lies in the us ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2020

The Cost of Scaling a Reliable Interconnection Topology

Rachid Guerraoui, Alexandre David Olivier Maurer

In distributed computing, many papers try to evaluate the message complexity of a distributed system as a function of the number of nodes n. But what about the cost of building the distributed system itself? Assuming that we want to reliably connect n node ...

2020

Robust Generalization via $\alpha$-Mutual Information

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Amedeo Roberto Esposito, Ibrahim Issa

The aim of this work is to provide bounds connecting two probability measures of the same event using Rényi

\alpha

-Divergences and Sibson’s

\alpha

-Mutual Information, a generalization of respectively the Kullback-Leibler Divergence and Shannon’s Mutual ...

ETHZ2020

Normalized Gaussian path integrals

Giulio Corazza

Path integrals play a crucial role in describing the dynamics of physical systems subject to classical or quantum noise. In fact, when correctly normalized, they express the probability of transition between two states of the system. In this work, we show ...

AMER PHYSICAL SOC2020

Scalable Stochastic Optimization: Scenario Reduction with Guarantees

Kilian Schindler

Stochastic optimization is a popular modeling paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty and has a wide spectrum of applications in management science, economics and engineering. However, the stochastic optimization models one faces in practice are int ...

EPFL2020

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Learning

Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh

Many decision problems in science, engineering, and economics are affected by uncertainty, which is typically modeled by a random variable governed by an unknown probability distribution. For many practical applications, the probability distribution is onl ...

EPFL2020

Tighter thermodynamic bound on the speed limit in systems with unidirectional transitions

Daniel Maria Busiello

We consider a general discrete state-space system with both unidirectional and bidirectional links. In contrast to bidirectional links, there is no reverse transition along the unidirectional links Herein, we first compute the statistical length and the th ...

2020

Estimating network travel time reliability with network partitioning

Nikolaos Geroliminis, Mohammadreza Saeedmanesh

Network travel time reliability can be represented by a relationship between network space-mean travel time and the standard deviation of network travel time. The primary objective of this paper is to improve estimation of the network travel time reliabili ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2020

Distributional Robustness in Mechanism Design

Cagil Kocyigit

Mechanism design theory examines the design of allocation mechanisms or incentive systems involving multiple rational but self-interested agents and plays a central role in many societally important problems in economics. In mechanism design problems, agen ...

EPFL2020

A Covariance Formula For Topological Events Of Smooth Gaussian Fields

Alejandro Rivera

We derive a covariance formula for the class of 'topological events' of smooth Gaussian fields on manifolds; these are events that depend only on the topology of the level sets of the field, for example, (i) crossing events for level or excursion sets, (ii ...

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS2020

Strong convergence of multivariate maxima

Simone Padoan, Stefano Rizzelli

It is well known and readily seen that the maximum of n independent and uniformly on [0, 1] distributed random variables, suitably standardised, converges in total variation distance, as n increases, to the standard negative exponential distribution. We ex ...

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS2020