Modeling diversity by strange attractors with application to temporal pattern recognition

This thesis belongs to the general discipline of establishing black-box models from real-word data, more precisely, from measured time-series. This is an old subject and a large amount of papers and books has been written about it. The main difficulty is to express the diversity of data that has essentially the same origin without creating confusion with data that has a different origin. Normally, the diversity of time-series is modeled by a stochastic process, such as filtered white noise. Often, it is reasonable to assume that the time series is generated by a deterministic dynamical system rather than a stochastic process. In this case, the diversity of the data is expressed by the variability of the parameters of the dynamical system. The parameter variability itself is then, once again, modeled by a stochastic process. In both cases the diversity is generated by some form of exogenous noise. In this thesis a further step has been taken. A single chaotic dynamical system is used to model the data and their diversity. Indeed, a chaotic system produces a whole family of trajectories that are different but nonetheless very similar. It is believed that chaotic dynamics not only are a convenient means to represent diversity but that in many cases the origin of diversity stems actually from chaotic dynamic. Since the approach of this thesis explores completely new grounds the most suitable kind of data is considered, namely approximately periodic signals. In nature such time-series are rather common, in particular the physiological signal of living beings, such as the electrocardiograms (ECG), parts of speech signals, electroencephalograms (EEG), etc. Since there are strong arguments in favor of the chaotic nature of these signals, they appear to be the best candidates for modeling diversity by chaos. It should be stressed however, that the modeling approach pursued in this thesis is thought to be quite general and not limited to signals produced by chaotic dynamics in nature. The intended application of the modeling effort in this thesis is temporal signal classification. The reason for this is twofold. Firstly, classification is one of the basic building block of any cognitive system. Secondly, the recently studied phenomenon of synchronization of chaotic systems suggests a way to test a signal against its chaotic model. The essential content of this work can now be formulated as follows. Thesis: The diversity of approximately periodic signals found in nature can be modeled by means of chaotic dynamics. This kind of modeling technique, together with selective properties of the synchronization of chaotic systems, can be exploited for pattern recognition purposes. This Thesis is advocated by means of the following five points. Models of randomness (Chapter 2) It is argued that the randomness observed in nature is not necessarily the result of exogenous noise, but it could be endogenally generated by deterministic chaotic dynamics. The diversity of