Publications related to Robust system identification and model predictions in the presence of systematic uncertainty

Related publications (34)

Modeling conditional distributions of neural and behavioral data with masked variational autoencoders

Pavan P Ramdya, Victor Lobato Rios, Daniel Eduardo Morales Garza

Extracting the relationship between high-dimensional neural recordings and complex behavior is a ubiquitous problem in neuroscience. Encoding and decoding models target the conditional distribution of neural activity given behavior and vice versa, while di ...

2025

A High Dimensional Statistical Model for Adversarial Training: Geometry and Trade-Offs

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Bruno Loureiro, Matteo Vilucchio

This work investigates adversarial training in the context of margin-based linear classifiers in the high-dimensional regime where the dimension d and the number of data points n diverge with a fixed ratio α = n/d. We introduce a tractable mathematical mod ...

2025

Design of an Open-Loop Pile-Oscillation Program in the CROCUS Reactor

Andreas Pautz, Vincent Pierre Lamirand, Axel Guy Marie Laureau, Thomas Jean-François Ligonnet

As a follow-up to the CEA-EPFL PETALE experimental program on stainless steel nuclear data, the EPFL initiated an open-loop pile-oscillation experimental program in the CROCUS reactor: BLOOM. A reproduction of the critical experiments of PETALE, the progra ...

2024

Electron trapping in gyrotron electron guns: Validation of the FENNECS code with the T-REX experiment

Guillaume Michel Le Bars, Timothy Goodman, Stefano Alberti, Jean-Philippe Hogge, Mario Ludovico Podesta, Joaquim Loizu Cisquella, Jérémy Genoud, Falk Hans Braunmüller, Francesco Romano, Pierrick Paul Louis Giroud-Garampon

Gyrotrons are essential devices for the development of nuclear fusion, but their design and reliable operation still present numerous challenges. In particular, certain gyrotrons encounter issues related to trapped electron clouds in the magnetron injectio ...

AIP Publishing2025

Federated learning with uncertainty-based client clustering for fleet-wide fault diagnosis

Olga Fink, Hao Lu

Operators from various industries have been pushing the adoption of wireless sensing nodes for industrial monitoring, and such efforts have produced sizeable condition monitoring datasets that can be used to build diagnosis algorithms capable of warning ma ...

2024

Reducing uncertainties in response predictions of earthquake-damaged masonry buildings using data from image-based inspection

Ian Smith, Katrin Beyer, Bryan German Pantoja Rosero, Mathias Christian Haindl Carvallo

Image information about the state of a building after an earthquake, which can be collected without endangering the post-earthquake reconnaissance activities, can be used to reduce uncertainties in response predictions for future seismic events. This paper ...

Springer2024

A FEM modelling workflow to simulate THM effects in the rock around nuclear waste packages

Matthias Timothee Stanislas Wojnarowicz

High-level waste, stemming from nuclear electricity generation poses significant environmental and safety concerns. Currently, high-level wastes are stored in interim facilities needing constant monitoring and waiting for a definitive solution. Deep geolog ...

EPFL2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

Paolo Pegolo

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

Model uncertainties in action effects and load bearing capacity calculation in statically indeterminate reinforced concrete structures

Aurelio Muttoni, Alain Nussbaumer, Xhemsi Malja

For the dimensioning and assessment of structures, it is common practice to compare action effects with sectional resistances. Extensive studies have been performed to quantify the model uncertainty on the resistance side. However, for statically indetermi ...

Ernst & Sohn2024

Influence of model uncertainty and long term deformations in action effects calculation in reinforced concrete structures

Xhemsi Malja

Most codes of practice adopt a semi probabilistic design approach for the dimensioning and assessment of structures. Accordingly, structural safety is ensured by performing limit state verifications using design values determined with adequately calibrated ...

EPFL2024

Noise-induced transitions past the onset of a steady symmetry-breaking bifurcation: The case of the sudden expansion

François Gallaire, Edouard Boujo, Yves-Marie François Ducimetière

We consider fluid flows, governed by the Navier-Stokes equations, subject to a steady symmetry-breaking bifurcation and forced by a weak noise acting on a slow timescale. By generalizing the multiple-scale weakly nonlinear expansion technique employed in t ...

2024

Precision luminosity measurement at hadron colliders

Joanna Malgorzata Wanczyk

This thesis links two realms of particle accelerator dynamics and precision particle physics. The achievement of precise luminosity measurement at hadron colliders is enabled with dedicated luminometers. For the Run 3 period, the luminometer upgrade was ...

EPFL2024

Health Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Under Unseen Working Conditions

Florent Evariste Forest, Yunhong Che

Battery health prediction is significant while challenging for intelligent battery management. This article proposes a general framework for both short-term and long-term predictions of battery health under unseen dynamic loading and temperature conditions ...

Ieee-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc2024

Luminosity determination using Z boson production at the CMS experiment

Jian Wang, Matthias Finger, Qian Wang, Yiming Li, João Miguel das Neves Duarte, Matthias Wolf, Varun Sharma, Yi Zhang, Tian Cheng, Yixing Chen, Alexis Kalogeropoulos, Ioannis Papadopoulos, Hua Zhang, Siyuan Wang, Xin Chen, Michele Bianco, Sebastiana Gianì, Sun Hee Kim, Rakesh Chawla, Jan Steggemann, Konstantin Androsov, Anna Mascellani, Federica Legger, Matteo Galli, Gabriele Grosso

The measurement of Z boson production is presented as a method to determine the integrated luminosity of CMS data sets. The analysis uses proton-proton collision data, recorded by the CMS experiment at the CERN LHC in 2017 at a center-of-mass energy of 13 ...

Springer2024

An Iterative Adaptive Dynamic Programming Approach for Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram-Based Perimeter Control and Route Guidance

Nikolaos Geroliminis

Macroscopic fundamental diagrams (MFDs) have been widely adopted to model the traffic flow of large-scale urban networks. Coupling perimeter control and regional route guidance (PCRG) is a promising strategy to decrease congestion heterogeneity and reduce ...

Informs2024

Extensions of Peer Prediction Incentive Mechanisms

Adam Julian Richardson

As large, data-driven artificial intelligence models become ubiquitous, guaranteeing high data quality is imperative for constructing models. Crowdsourcing, community sensing, and data filtering have long been the standard approaches to guaranteeing or imp ...

EPFL2024

Intermediate complexity atmospheric modeling in complex terrain: is it right?

Michael Lehning, Dylan Stewart Reynolds, Michael Haugeneder

Dynamic downscaling of atmospheric forcing data to the hectometer resolution has shown increases in accuracy for landsurface models, but at great computational cost. Here we present a validation of a novel intermediate complexity atmospheric model, HICAR, ...

Frontiers Media Sa2024

Data-Driven Control Synthesis using Koopman Operator: A Robust Approach

Alireza Karimi, Nathan Russell Powell, Mert Eyuboglu

This paper proposes a data-driven control design method for nonlinear systems that builds upon the Koopman operator framework. In particular, the Koopman operator is used to lift the nonlinear dynamics to a higher-dimensional space where the so-called obse ...

2024

Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

Farzad Pourkamali

A key challenge across many disciplines is to extract meaningful information from data which is often obscured by noise. These datasets are typically represented as large matrices. Given the current trend of ever-increasing data volumes, with datasets grow ...

EPFL2024

Stochastic pairwise preference convergence in Bayesian agents

Max-Olivier Hongler

Beliefs inform the behaviour of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack critical theory to ...

2024