Rate of osmotic pressure change in drying saliva microdroplets drives inactivation of surrogate respiratory bacteria

Airborne transmission of respiratory pathogens depends on their ability to remain viable in drying respiratory droplets, yet the physicochemical drivers of bacterial inactivation during droplet evaporation remain poorly quantified. This study combines controlled droplet experiments with physicochemical modeling to investigate how osmotic pressure dynamics influence bacterial survival. Using Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus epidermidis as Gram-negative and Gram-positive surrogates, respectively, we measured viability loss in artificial saliva droplets dried at multiple relative humidities and reconstructed the time-resolved osmotic pressure using the Respiratory Aerosol Model (ResAM). Both organisms remained stable while droplets were liquid but lost viability following efflorescence, when rapid solute concentration changes produced sharp osmotic pressure increases. The extent of inactivation scales log-linearly with the rate of osmotic pressure change around efflorescence: E. coli decays faster than S. epidermidis , and relationships derived in artificial saliva predict survival in independent phosphate-buffered saline experiments. A more rapid drop in humidity led to more severe osmotic shocks and greater inactivation. These results identify the rate of osmotic pressure change during efflorescence as a quantitative, medium-independent predictor of bacterial survival in drying respiratory droplets.