Publications related to Simultaneous autoregressive models for spatial extremes

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

Farzad Pourkamali

A key challenge across many disciplines is to extract meaningful information from data which is often obscured by noise. These datasets are typically represented as large matrices. Given the current trend of ever-increasing data volumes, with datasets grow ...

EPFL2024

Experimental Validation of a Unified and Linear State Estimation Method for Hybrid AC/DC Microgrids

Mario Paolone, Willem Lambrichts

This paper presents the experimental validation of a linear recursive state estimation (SE) process for hybrid AC/DC microgrids proposed in the authors' previous work. The SE uses a unified and linear measurement model that relies on the use of synchronize ...

IEEE2023

Distributional Regression and Autoregression via Optimal Transport

Laya Ghodrati

We present a framework for performing regression when both covariate and response are probability distributions on a compact and convex subset of

\R^d

. Our regression model is based on the theory of optimal transport and links the conditional Fr'echet m ...

EPFL2023

Comparison of Three Imputation Methods for Groundwater Level Timeseries

Andrea Rinaldo

This study compares three imputation methods applied to the field observations of hydraulic head in subsurface hydrology. Hydrogeological studies that analyze the timeseries of groundwater elevations often face issues with missing data that may mislead bot ...

MDPI2023

OASIS: Optimisation-based Activity Scheduling with Integrated Simultaneous choice dimensions

Michel Bierlaire, Janody Pougala, Timothy Michael Hillel

Activity-based models offer the potential of a far deeper understanding of daily mobility behaviour than trip-based models. However, activity-based models used both in research and practice have often relied on applying sequential choice models between sub ...

2023

An equilibrated flux a posteriori error estimator for defeaturing problems

Ondine Gabrielle Chanon, Annalisa Buffa, Rafael Vazquez Hernandez, Denise Grappein

An a posteriori error estimator based on an equilibrated flux reconstruction is proposed for defeaturing problems in the context of finite element discretizations. Defeaturing consists in the simplification of a geometry by removing features that are consi ...

2023

Unbiased Likelihood Estimation of Wright–Fisher Diffusion Processes

Fabio Nobile

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright–Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation techniques that are of s ...

Springer Cham2024

Stochastic adaptive resampling for the estimation of discrete choice models

Michel Bierlaire, Nicola Marco Ortelli, Matthieu Marie Cochon de Lapparent

In the field of choice modeling, the availability of ever-larger datasets has the potential to significantly expand our understanding of human behavior, but this prospect is limited by the poor scalability of discrete choice models (DCMs): as sample sizes ...

2023

Linear Recursive State Estimation of Hybrid and Unbalanced AC/DC Micro-Grids using Synchronized Measurements

Mario Paolone, Willem Lambrichts

In this paper, we present an exact (i. e. non-approximated) and linear measurement model for hybrid AC/DC microgrids for recursive state estimation (SE). More specifically, an exact linear model of a voltage source converter (VSC) is proposed. It relies on ...

New York2023

Real-Time Localization for Closed-Loop Control of Assistive Furniture

Auke Ijspeert, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, George Adaimi, Chuanfang Ning, Lixuan Tang, Anastasia Bolotnikova

For people with limited mobility, navigating in cluttered indoor environment is challenging. In this work, we propose a mobile assistive furniture suite that is designed to ease the life of people with special needs in indoor movement. To enable intelligen ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2023

Filtered data and eigenfunction estimators for statistical inference of multiscale and interacting diffusion processes

Andrea Zanoni

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters of stochastic dynamical models from data. Often, these models are high dimensional and contain several scales and complex structures. One is then interested in obtaining a reduced, coarse-grained descript ...

EPFL2022

Parametric Estimation For Functional Autoregressive Processes On The Sphere

Alessia Caponera

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as weak consistency ...

2022

Financial Risk Management with Machine Learning

Marc-Aurèle Antoine Divernois

This thesis consists of three applications of machine learning techniques to risk management. The first chapter proposes a deep learning approach to estimate physical forward default intensities of companies. Default probabilities are computed using artifi ...

EPFL2022

Covariance Estimation for Random Surfaces beyond Separability

Tomas Masák

This thesis focuses on non-parametric covariance estimation for random surfaces, i.e.~functional data on a two-dimensional domain. Non-parametric covariance estimation lies at the heart of functional data analysis, and considerations of statistical and com ...

EPFL2022

Asymptotic Errors for Teacher-Student Convex Generalized Linear Models (Or: How to Prove Kabashima’s Replica Formula)

Florent Gérard Krzakala, Alia Abbara

There has been a recent surge of interest in the study of asymptotic reconstruction performance in various cases of generalized linear estimation problems in the teacher-student setting, especially for the case of i.i.d standard normal matrices. Here, we g ...

2022

Daily Contributors of Tinnitus Loudness and Distress: An Ecological Momentary Assessment Study

Patrick Karl Alois Neff

BackgroundTinnitus is a heterogeneous condition which may be associated with moderate to severe disability, but the reasons why only a subset of individuals is burdened by the condition are not fully clear. Ecological momentary assessment (EMA) allows a be ...

FRONTIERS MEDIA SA2022

On the rate of convergence for the autocorrelation operator in functional autoregression

Victor Panaretos, Alessia Caponera

We consider the problem of estimating the autocorrelation operator of an autoregressive Hilbertian process. By means of a Tikhonov approach, we establish a general result that yields the convergence rate of the estimated autocorrelation operator as a funct ...

ELSEVIER2022

Random Surface Covariance Estimation by Shifted Partial Tracing

Victor Panaretos, Tomas Masák

The problem of covariance estimation for replicated surface-valued processes is examined from the functional data analysis perspective. Considerations of statistical and computational efficiency often compel the use of separability of the covariance, even ...

2023

Linear Recursive State Estimation of Hybrid and Unbalanced AC/DC Micro-Grids using Synchronized Measurements

Mario Paolone, Willem Lambrichts

In this paper, we present an exact (i.e. non-approximated) and linear measurement model for hybrid AC/DC micro-grids for recursive state estimation (SE). More specifically, an exact linear model of a voltage source converter (VSC) is proposed. It relies on ...

2022