Publications related to An optimal prediction problem in financial modelling

Related publications (30)

Spatial Modeling for Building Design Evaluation: from Visual Landscape Quality Assessment to Devaluation Risk Estimation

Zoning reform is a crucial tool for cities to adapt to contemporary challenges. However, its implementation remains challenging. Property owners, with a vested interest in the value of their neighborhoods, are sensitive to local developments and the potent ...

EPFL2024

Asset life, leverage, and debt maturity matching

Erwan Morellec

Capital ages and must eventually be replaced. We propose a theory of financing in which firms borrow to finance investment and deleverage as capital ages to have enough financial slack to finance replacement investments. To achieve these dynamics, firms is ...

Elsevier Science Sa2024

Noise-induced transitions past the onset of a steady symmetry-breaking bifurcation: The case of the sudden expansion

François Gallaire, Edouard Boujo, Yves-Marie François Ducimetière

We consider fluid flows, governed by the Navier-Stokes equations, subject to a steady symmetry-breaking bifurcation and forced by a weak noise acting on a slow timescale. By generalizing the multiple-scale weakly nonlinear expansion technique employed in t ...

2024

Two-particle Bose-Einstein correlations and their Lévy parameters in PbPb collisions at √sNN=5.02 TeV

Jian Wang, Matthias Finger, Qian Wang, Yiming Li, João Miguel das Neves Duarte, Matthias Wolf, Varun Sharma, Yi Zhang, Tian Cheng, Yixing Chen, Alexis Kalogeropoulos, Ioannis Papadopoulos, Hua Zhang, Siyuan Wang, Xin Chen, Michele Bianco, Sebastiana Gianì, Sun Hee Kim, Davide Di Croce, Jian Zhao, Rakesh Chawla, Jan Steggemann, Konstantin Androsov, Anna Mascellani, Federica Legger, Matteo Galli, Gabriele Grosso

Two -particle Bose-Einstein momentum correlation functions are studied for charged-hadron pairs in lead -lead collisions at a center -of -mass energy per nucleon pair of .'/sNN = 5.02 TeV. The data sample, containing 4.27 x 109 minimum bias events correspo ...

Amer Physical Soc2024

The Time‐Varying Price of Financial Intermediation in the Mortgage Market

Andreas Fuster

We introduce a new measure of the price charged by ﬁnancial intermediaries for con-necting mortgage borrowers with capital market investors. Based on administrativelender pricing data, we document that the price of intermediation reacts stronglyto variatio ...

2024

Monopoly Pricing with Unknown Demand

Thomas Alois Weber

The optimal pricing of goods, especially when they are new and the innovating firm is a monopolist, must proceed without precise knowledge of the demand curve. This paper provides a pricing method with a relative robustness guarantee by maximizing a perfor ...

Wiley2025

Quantifying the Unknown: Data-Driven Approaches and Applications in Energy Systems

Paul Scharnhorst

In light of the challenges posed by climate change and the goals of the Paris Agreement, electricity generation is shifting to a more renewable and decentralized pattern, while the operation of systems like buildings is increasingly electrified. This calls ...

EPFL2024

On distributional autoregression and iterated transportation

Victor Panaretos, Laya Ghodrati

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of Double-struck capital R. An order-1 autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov chain, where ...

Wiley2024

Takeover Protections and Asset Prices

Erwan Morellec

We study the effects of takeover feasibility on asset prices and returns in a unified framework. We show theoretically that takeover protections increase equity risk, stock returns, and bond yields by removing a valuable put option to sell the firm, notabl ...

Informs2024

A cut-cell method for the numerical simulation of 3D multiphase flows with strong interfacial effects

Marco Picasso, Alexandre Caboussat, Alexandre Masserey, Julien Hess

We present a numerical model for the approximation of multiphase flows with free surfaces and strong interfacial effects. The model relies on the multiphase incompressible Navier-Stokes equations, and includes surface tension effects on the interfaces betw ...

Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science2024

Using automated design appraisal to model building-specific devaluation risk due to land-use change

Adam Robert Swietek

Uncertainty of spillover effects – including property devaluation - from proposed land-use change elicits opposition to local development. This hinders cities’ ability to implement land-use policy aimed at housing affordability and environmental sustainabi ...

2024

Generalization of Scaled Deep ResNets in the Mean-Field Regime

Volkan Cevher, Grigorios Chrysos, Fanghui Liu

Despite the widespread empirical success of ResNet, the generalization properties of deep ResNet are rarely explored beyond the lazy training regime. In this work, we investigate scaled ResNet in the limit of infinitely deep and wide neural networks, of wh ...

2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

Paolo Pegolo

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

Functional data analysis with rough sample paths?

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

Functional data are typically modeled as sample paths of smooth stochastic processes in order to mitigate the fact that they are often observed discretely and noisily, occasionally irregularly and sparsely. The smoothness assumption is imposed to allow for ...

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2024

Density estimation in RKHS with application to Korobov spaces in high dimensions

Fabio Nobile, Yoshihito Kazashi

A kernel method for estimating a probability density function from an independent and identically distributed sample drawn from such density is presented. Our estimator is a linear combination of kernel functions, the coefficients of which are determined b ...

2023

Stochastic particle transport by deep-water irregular breaking waves

Debbie Eeltink

Correct prediction of particle transport by surface waves is crucial in many practical applications such as search and rescue or salvage operations and pollution tracking and clean-up efforts. Recent results by Deike et al. (J. Fluid Mech., vol. 829, 2017, ...

Cambridge University Press2023

Closed form approximation methods for portfolio valuation and risk management

Lotfi Boudabsa

In this thesis we present three closed form approximation methods for portfolio valuation and risk management. The first chapter is titled ``Kernel methods for portfolio valuation and risk management'', and is a joint work with Damir Filipovi'c (SFI and ...

EPFL2023

Resource aware pricing for electric vehicle charging

Nils Gustav Nilsson

Electric vehicle charging facilities offer their capacity constrained electric charge and parking to users for a fee. As electric vehicle adoption grows, so too does the potential for excessive resource utilization. In this paper, we study how prices set b ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2023

Automated Design Appraisal: Estimating Real Estate Price Growth and Value at Risk Due to Local Development

Adam Robert Swietek

Financial criteria in architectural design evaluation are limited to cost performance. Here, I introduce a method – Automated Design Appraisal (ADA) – to predict the market price of a generated building design concept within a local urban context. Integrat ...

2023

Mortgage-backed securities

Andreas Fuster

This paper reviews the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market, with a particular emphasis on agency residential MBS in the United States. We discuss the institutional environment, security design, MBS risks and asset pricing, and the economic effects of m ...

Edward Elgar2023