Publications related to Estimation of Self-Exciting Point Processes from Time-Censored Data

Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

A key challenge across many disciplines is to extract meaningful information from data which is often obscured by noise. These datasets are typically represented as large matrices. Given the current trend of ever-increasing data volumes, with datasets grow ...

EPFL2024

Stochastic adaptive resampling for the estimation of discrete choice models

Michel Bierlaire, Nicola Marco Ortelli, Matthieu Marie Cochon de Lapparent

In the field of choice modeling, the availability of ever-larger datasets has the potential to significantly expand our understanding of human behavior, but this prospect is limited by the poor scalability of discrete choice models (DCMs): as sample sizes ...

2023

Positive Definite Completions and Continuous Graphical Models

Kartik Waghmare

This thesis concerns the theory of positive-definite completions and its mutually beneficial connections to the statistics of function-valued or continuously-indexed random processes, better known as functional data analysis. In particular, it dwells upon ...

EPFL2023

Timing and spatial selection bias in rapid extreme event attribution

Anthony Christopher Davison, Ophélia Mireille Anna Miralles

Selection bias may arise when data have been chosen in a way that subsequent analysis does not account for. Such bias can arise in climate event attribution studies that are performed rapidly after a devastating "trigger event'', whose occurrence correspon ...

ELSEVIER2023

Experimental Validation of a Unified and Linear State Estimation Method for Hybrid AC/DC Microgrids

Mario Paolone, Willem Lambrichts

This paper presents the experimental validation of a linear recursive state estimation (SE) process for hybrid AC/DC microgrids proposed in the authors' previous work. The SE uses a unified and linear measurement model that relies on the use of synchronize ...

IEEE2023

The elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Sofia Charlotta Olhede

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex plane, which are obse ...

INT PRESS BOSTON, INC2023

Quantization for Decentralized Learning Under Subspace Constraints

Ali H. Sayed, Roula Nassif, Stefan Vlaski, Marco Carpentiero

In this article, we consider decentralized optimization problems where agents have individual cost functions to minimize subject to subspace constraints that require the minimizers across the network to lie in low-dimensional subspaces. This constrained fo ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2023

An equilibrated flux a posteriori error estimator for defeaturing problems

Ondine Gabrielle Chanon, Annalisa Buffa, Rafael Vazquez Hernandez, Denise Grappein

An a posteriori error estimator based on an equilibrated flux reconstruction is proposed for defeaturing problems in the context of finite element discretizations. Defeaturing consists in the simplification of a geometry by removing features that are consi ...

2023

Density estimation in RKHS with application to Korobov spaces in high dimensions

Fabio Nobile, Yoshihito Kazashi

A kernel method for estimating a probability density function from an independent and identically distributed sample drawn from such density is presented. Our estimator is a linear combination of kernel functions, the coefficients of which are determined b ...

2023

Detecting whether a stochastic process is finitely expressed in a basis

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

Is it possible to detect if the sample paths of a stochastic process almost surely admit a finite expansion with respect to some/any basis? The determination is to be made on the basis of a finite collection of discretely/noisily observed sample paths. We ...

ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE2023

The two-point correlation function covariance with fewer mocks

Cheng Zhao

We present FITCOV an approach for accurate estimation of the covariance of two-point correlation functions that requires fewer mocks than the standard mock-based covariance. This can be achieved by dividing a set of mocks into jackknife regions and fitting ...

Oxford Univ Press2023

Higher Order Asymptotics: Applications to Satellite Conjunction and Boundary Problems

Soumaya Elkantassi

Higher-order asymptotics provide accurate approximations for use in parametric statistical modelling. In this thesis, we investigate using higher-order approximations in two-specific settings, with a particular emphasis on the tangent exponential model. ...

EPFL2023

Nonparametric estimation for SDE with sparsely sampled paths: An FDA perspective

Victor Panaretos, Neda Mohammadi Jouzdani

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on n independent replicates {Xi(t) : t is an element of [0 , 1]}13 d B(t), where alpha is an element of {0 , 1} a ...

Elsevier2024

Universal and adaptive methods for robust stochastic optimization

Ali Kavis

Within the context of contemporary machine learning problems, efficiency of optimization process depends on the properties of the model and the nature of the data available, which poses a significant problem as the complexity of either increases ad infinit ...

EPFL2023

Analysis-aware defeaturing of complex geometries

Ondine Gabrielle Chanon, Pablo Antolin Sanchez

Local modifications of a computational domain are often performed in order to simplify the meshing process and to reduce computational costs and memory requirements. However, removing geometrical features of a domain often introduces a non-negligible error ...

2022

Filtered data and eigenfunction estimators for statistical inference of multiscale and interacting diffusion processes

Andrea Zanoni

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters of stochastic dynamical models from data. Often, these models are high dimensional and contain several scales and complex structures. One is then interested in obtaining a reduced, coarse-grained descript ...

EPFL2022

Data-Driven Unknown-Input Observers and State Estimation

Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate, Mustafa Sahin Turan

Unknown-input observers (UIOs) allow for estimation of the states of an LTI system without knowledge of all inputs. In this letter, we provide a novel data-driven UIO based on behavioral system theory and the result known as Fundamental Lemma proposed by J ...

2022

Multi-Level Monte Carlo Methods for Uncertainty Quantification and Risk-Averse Optimisation

Sundar Subramaniam Ganesh

This work aims to study the effects of wind uncertainties in civil engineering structural design. Optimising the design of a structure for safety or operability without factoring in these uncertainties can result in a design that is not robust to these per ...

EPFL2022

Statistical Emulation of Neural Simulators: Application to Neocortical L2/3 Large Basket Cells

Idan Segev, Werner Alfons Hilda Van Geit, Oren Amsalem

Many scientific systems are studied using computer codes that simulate the phenomena of interest. Computer simulation enables scientists to study a broad range of possible conditions, generating large quantities of data at a faster rate than the laboratory ...

FRONTIERS MEDIA SA2022

Dynamical low rank approximation for uncertainty quantification of time-dependent problems

Eva Vidlicková

The quantification of uncertainties can be particularly challenging for problems requiring long-time integration as the structure of the random solution might considerably change over time. In this respect, dynamical low-rank approximation (DLRA) is very a ...

EPFL2022