Publications related to An information-theoretical perspective on weighted ensemble forecasts

Related publications (32)

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?

Alexandre Massoud Alahi

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline. In this complex ...

2024

SIMPLE HIERARCHICAL PLANNING WITH DIFFUSION

Caglar Gulcehre

Diffusion-based generative methods have proven effective in modeling trajectories with offline datasets. However, they often face computational challenges and can falter in generalization, especially in capturing temporal abstractions for long- horizon tas ...

2024

Network time series forecasting in photovoltaics power production

Jelena Simeunovic

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power production is crucial for the integration of more renewable energy sources into the power grid. PV power production is highly intermittent, due to the stochastic cloud behaviour and cloud dynamics. Previous w ...

EPFL2024

Iterative removal of sources to model the turbulent electromotive force

Salim Bennouna, Abhijit Bhausaheb Bendre

We describe a novel method to compute the components of dynamo tensors from direct magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations. Our method relies upon an extension and generalization of the standard H & ouml;gbom CLEAN algorithm widely used in radio astronomy to ...

Oxford Univ Press2024

A Reduced Order Model for Domain Decompositions with Non-conforming Interfaces

Alfio Quarteroni, Andrea Manzoni

In this paper, we propose a reduced-order modeling strategy for two-way Dirichlet-Neumann parametric coupled problems solved with domain-decomposition (DD) sub-structuring methods. We split the original coupled differential problem into two sub-problems wi ...

Springer/Plenum Publishers2024

Efficient Continual Finite-Sum Minimization

Ioannis Mavrothalassitis, Volkan Cevher, Leello Tadesse Dadi, Efstratios Panteleimon Skoulakis

Given a sequence of functions

f_1,\ldots,f_n

with

f_i:\mathcal{D}\mapsto \mathbb{R}

, finite-sum minimization seeks a point

{x}^\star \in \mathcal{D}

minimizing

\sum_{j=1}^nf_j(x)/n

. In this work, we propose a key twist into the finite-sum minimizat ...

2024

Micropreparative Gel Electrophoresis for Purification of Nanoscale Bioconjugates

Ardemis Anoush Boghossian, Yahya Rabbani, Shang-Jung Wu, Vitalijs Zubkovs, Sayyed Hashem Sajjadi

Conventional techniques for purifying macromolecular conjugates often require complex and costly installments that are inaccessible to most laboratories. In this work, we develop a one-step micropreparative method based on a trilayered polyacrylamide gel e ...

2024

Soliton gas: Theory, numerics, and experiments

Andrey Gelash

The concept of soliton gas was introduced in 1971 by Zakharov as an infinite collection of weakly interacting solitons in the framework of Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation. In this theoretical construction of a diluted (rarefied) soliton gas, solitons with ...

Amer Physical Soc2024

On Speed and Advantage : Results in Information Velocity and Monitoring Problems

Reka Inovan

Information theory has allowed us to determine the fundamental limit of various communication and algorithmic problems, e.g., the channel coding problem, the compression problem, and the hypothesis testing problem. In this work, we revisit the assumptions ...

EPFL2024

Machine Learning for Modeling Stock Returns

Teng Andrea Xu

Throughout history, the pace of knowledge and information sharing has evolved into an unthinkable speed and media. At the end of the XVII century, in Europe, the ideas that would shape the "Age of Enlightenment" were slowly being developed in coffeehouses, ...

EPFL2024

High-order geometric integrators for the variational Gaussian wavepacket dynamics and application to vibronic spectra at finite temperature

Roya Moghaddasi Fereidani

Molecular quantum dynamics simulations are essential for understanding many fundamental phenomena in physics and chemistry. They often require solving the time-dependent Schrödinger equation for molecular nuclei, which is challenging even for medium-sized ...

EPFL2024

Residual-based attention in physics-informed neural networks

Nikolaos Stergiopoulos, Sokratis Anagnostopoulos

Driven by the need for more efficient and seamless integration of physical models and data, physics -informed neural networks (PINNs) have seen a surge of interest in recent years. However, ensuring the reliability of their convergence and accuracy remains ...

Elsevier Science Sa2024

Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting With Uncertainty

Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Saeed Saadatnejad, Taylor Ferdinand Mordan

Recently, there has been an arms race of pose forecasting methods aimed at solving the spatio-temporal task of predicting a sequence of future 3D poses of a person given a sequence of past observed ones. However, the lack of unified benchmarks and limited ...

2024

Design ontology for cognitive thread supporting traceability management in model-based systems engineering

Dimitrios Kyritsis, Jinzhi Lu, Yan Yan

Industrial information integration engineering (IIIE) is an interdisciplinary field to facilitate the industrial information integration process. In the age of complex and large-scale systems, model-based systems engineering (MBSE) is widely adopted in ind ...

Elsevier2024

Method of preparation of amyloidogenic protein aggregates and uses thereof

Hilal Lashuel, Galina Limorenko

The invention relates to methods for the preparation of method of preparation of Tau aggregates, including fibrils, fibrillar species, soluble and insoluble oligomeric species, new Tau aggregates and uses thereof. The invention further relates to the uses ...

2024

Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic

Andreas Fuster

We conduct two survey experiments to study which information people choose to consume and how it affects their beliefs. In the first experiment, respondents choose between optimistic and pessimistic article headlines related to the COVID-19 pandemic and ar ...

2024

A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In Vivo Ultrafast Ultrasound Image Enhancement with Deep Learning: Dataset (1/6)

Jean-Philippe Thiran, Roser Vinals Terres

This dataset contains a collection of ultrafast ultrasound acquisitions from nine volunteers and the CIRS 054G phantom. For a comprehensive understanding of the dataset, please refer to the paper: Viñals, R.; Thiran, J.-P. A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In ...

Zenodo2024

A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In Vivo Ultrafast Ultrasound Image Enhancement with Deep Learning: Dataset (4/6)

Jean-Philippe Thiran, Roser Vinals Terres

This dataset contains a collection of ultrafast ultrasound acquisitions from nine volunteers and the CIRS 054G phantom. For a comprehensive understanding of the dataset, please refer to the paper: Viñals, R.; Thiran, J.-P. A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In ...

EPFL Infoscience2024

A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In Vivo Ultrafast Ultrasound Image Enhancement with Deep Learning: Dataset (6/6)

Jean-Philippe Thiran, Roser Vinals Terres

This dataset contains a collection of ultrafast ultrasound acquisitions from nine volunteers and the CIRS 054G phantom. For a comprehensive understanding of the dataset, please refer to the paper: Viñals, R.; Thiran, J.-P. A KL Divergence-Based Loss for In ...

EPFL Infoscience2024