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Spectral Estimators for High-Dimensional Matrix Inference

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Improved bounds and inference on optimal regimes

Mats Julius Stensrud, Aaron Leor Sarvet, Julien David Laurendeau

Point identification of causal effects requires strong assumptions that are unreasonable in many practical settings. However, bounds on these effects can often be derived under plausible assumptions. Even when these bounds are wide or cover null effects, t ...

Informa UK Limited2025

Probing the latent hierarchical structure of data via diffusion models

Noam Itzhak Levi, Alessandro Favero, Antonio Sclocchi

High-dimensional data must be highly structured to be learnable. Although the compositional and hierarchical nature of data is often put forward to explain learnability, quantitative measurements establishing these properties are scarce. Likewise, accessin ...

2025

What can radars tell us about snowfall microphysics? Insights from a Markov chain Monte-Carlo approach

Alexis Berne, Anne-Claire Marie Billault--Roux

Multi-frequency and Doppler spectral radars are valuable tools for retrieving information on the microphysics of precipitation, particularly snowfall. However, estimating microphysical properties from radar measurements is an ill-posed problem, i.e., diffe ...

American Meteorological Society2025

IsoBayes: a Bayesian approach for single-isoform proteomics inference

Andrea Cavalli

Motivation Studying protein isoforms is an essential step in biomedical research; at present, the main approach for analyzing proteins is via bottom-up mass spectrometry proteomics, which return peptide identifications, that are indirectly used to infer th ...

Oxford University Press2025

A phase transition between positional and semantic learning in a solvable model of dot-product attention

Lenka Zdeborová, Florent Gérard Krzakala, Hugo Chao Cui, Freya Behrens

Many empirical studies have provided evidence for the emergence of algorithmic mechanisms (abilities) in the learning of language models, that lead to qualitative improvements in the model capabilities. Yet, a theoretical characterization of how such mecha ...

2025

Towards Self-Supervised Covariance Estimation in Deep Heteroscedastic Regression

Mathieu Salzmann, Alexandre Massoud Alahi, Megh Hiren Shukla

Deep heteroscedastic regression models the mean and covariance of the target distribution through neural networks. The challenge arises from heteroscedasticity, which implies that the covariance is sample dependent and is often unknown. Consequently, recen ...

ICLR2025

Kriging‐variance‐based multi‐member ensembles of radar–rain‐gauge precipitation estimates: Application in Switzerland

Alexis Berne, Athanasios Ntoumos

Radar–rain‐gauge rainfall combination methods have been used extensively as meteorological applications. Such combinations are often achieved through geostatistical processes (kriging). In this work we use as a platform the system “CombiPrecip”, which is o ...

Wiley2025

Partial discharge localization in power transformer tanks using machine learning methods

Farhad Rachidi-Haeri, Marcos Rubinstein, Hamidreza Karami

This paper presents a comparison of machine learning (ML) methods used for three-dimensional localization of partial discharges (PD) in a power transformer tank. The study examines ML and deep learning (DL) methods, ranging from support vector machines (SV ...

Nature Publishing Group2024

Effective muscle synergies extraction pipeline to characterise the Box and Block Test movement

Valeria De Seta

The Box and Block test (BBT) is a clinical test for the evaluation of the unilateral manual dexterity. To the best of our knowledge, no study has yet explored it through the muscle synergy approach. Since each analysis step impacts on the muscle synergies ...

2025

Stability: a search for structure

Wouter Jongeneel

In this thesis we study stability from several viewpoints. After covering the practical importance, the rich history and the ever-growing list of manifestations of stability, we study the following. (i) (Statistical identification of stable dynamical syste ...

EPFL2024

Seebeck Coefficient of Ionic Conductors from Bayesian Regression Analysis

Paolo Pegolo

We propose a novel approach to evaluating the ionic Seebeck coefficient in electrolytes from relatively short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations, based on the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and Bayesian regression analysis. By exploiting the ...

Amer Chemical Soc2024

Crypto market betas: the limits of predictability and hedging

Thomas Alois Weber, Michael Mark

This article analyzes the predictability of market betas concerning cryptocurrency assets and evaluates the efficiency of beta-hedged, market-neutral portfolios. We forecast 1-year-ahead market betas using various estimating methods, including ordinary lea ...

Springer Science and Business Media LLC2025

Eflop: a Sparsity-aware Metric for Evaluating Computational Cost in Spiking and Non-spiking Neural Networks

Liza Carol Andrea Dunbar

Deploying energy-efficient deep neural networks on energy-constrained edge devices is an important research topic in both machine learning and circuit design communities. Both artificial neural networks (ANNs) and spiking neural networks (SNNs) have been p ...

IOP Publishing Ltd2025

On Speed and Advantage : Results in Information Velocity and Monitoring Problems

Reka Inovan

Information theory has allowed us to determine the fundamental limit of various communication and algorithmic problems, e.g., the channel coding problem, the compression problem, and the hypothesis testing problem. In this work, we revisit the assumptions ...

EPFL2024

Extensions of Peer Prediction Incentive Mechanisms

Adam Julian Richardson

As large, data-driven artificial intelligence models become ubiquitous, guaranteeing high data quality is imperative for constructing models. Crowdsourcing, community sensing, and data filtering have long been the standard approaches to guaranteeing or imp ...

EPFL2024

Discrete choice modeling in the era of big data

Nicola Marco Ortelli

The technological advancements of the past decades have allowed transforming an increasing part of our daily actions and decisions into storable data, leading to a radical change in the scale and scope of available data in relation to virtually any object ...

EPFL2024

Health Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Under Unseen Working Conditions

Florent Evariste Forest, Yunhong Che

Battery health prediction is significant while challenging for intelligent battery management. This article proposes a general framework for both short-term and long-term predictions of battery health under unseen dynamic loading and temperature conditions ...

Ieee-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc2024

Hitting with Probability One for Stochastic Heat Equations with Additive Noise

Robert Dalang, Fei Pu

We study the hitting probabilities of the solution to a system of d stochastic heat equations with additive noise subject to Dirichlet boundary conditions. We show that for any bounded Borel set with positive (d-6)\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{ ...

Springer/Plenum Publishers2024

Data and scripts for the RaFSIP scheme

Athanasios Nenes, Paraskevi Georgakaki

This repository contains microphysics routines, scripts, and processed data from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulations presented in the paper "RaFSIP: Parameterizing ice multiplication in models using a machine learning approach", by ...

Zenodo2024

Data-driven statistical optimization of a groundwater monitoring network

Andrea Rinaldo

We propose a comparative study of three different methods aimed at optimizing existing groundwater monitoring networks. Monitoring piezometric heads in subsurface porous formations is crucial at regional scales to properly characterize the relevant subsurf ...

Elsevier2024