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Bettina Schaefli

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Related publications (39)

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Stream temperature prediction in ungauged basins: review of recent approaches and description of a new physics-derived statistical model

Michael Lehning, Marc Parlange, Bettina Schaefli, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Aurélien Gallice

The development of stream temperature regression models at regional scales has regained some popularity over the past years. These models are used to predict stream temperature in ungauged catchments to assess the impact of human activities or climate chan ...

European Geosciences Union2015

Evolution of stream and lake water temperature under climate change

Alfred Johny Wüest, Damien Bouffard, Bettina Schaefli, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Adrien Michel, Carl Love Mikael Råman Vinnå

This report presents past observations and projects the future development of water temperature in Swiss lakes and rivers. Projections are made until the end of the 21st century using the CH2018 climate scenarios. Besides climate change effects on temperat ...

Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN)2021

Estimation of streamflow recession parameters: New insights from an analytic streamflow distribution model

Andrea Rinaldo, Bettina Schaefli, Ana Clara Pereira Barbosa Santos

Streamflow recession analysis characterizes the storage-outflow relationship in catchments. This relationship, which typically follows a power law, summarizes all catchment-scale subsurface hydrological processes and has long been known to be a key descrip ...

2019

HESS Opinions: Hydrologic predictions in a changing environment: behavioral modeling

Bettina Schaefli

Most hydrological models are valid at most only in a few places and cannot be reasonably transferred to other places or to far distant time periods. Transfer in space is difficult because the models are conditioned on past observations at particular places ...

2011

Accounting for global mean warming and scaling uncertainties in climate change impact studies: application to a regulated lake system

André Musy, Bettina Schaefli, Abdelkader Mezghani

A probabilistic assessment of climate change and related impacts should consider a large range of potential future climate scenarios. State-of-the-art climate models, especially coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models and Regional Climate Model ...

2007

Quantifying hydrological modeling errors through a mixture of normal distributions

André Musy, Bettina Schaefli

Bayesian inference of posterior parameter distributions has become widely used in hydrological modeling to estimate the associated modeling uncertainty. The classical underlying statistical model assumes a Gaussian modeling error with zero mean and a given ...

2007

Stream Temperature Evolution in Switzerland: Recent past and future

Michael Lehning, Bettina Schaefli, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Nander Wever, Tristan Jonas Brauchli, Adrien Michel

Climate change has already affected many components of our natural environment which are well described in the literature. Water temperature has received less interest despite the fact that it is recognized as key variable for assessing water quality of fr ...

2020

Tapping hidden hydropower potential in Swiss Alpine catchments in the context of the planned nuclear power phase out

Anton Schleiss, Pedro Filipe De Almeida Manso, Bettina Schaefli, Ana Clara Pereira Barbosa Santos

In its Energy Strategy 2050, Switzerland is revising its energy perspectives with a strong focus on renewable sources of energy and in particular hydropower. In this context, the Swiss Government funded a number of competence centers for energy research (S ...

2017

Quantification of modelling uncertainties in climate change impact studies on water resources : application to a glacier-fed hydropower production system in the Swiss Alps

Bettina Schaefli

This PhD thesis presents the development of a methodological framework to analyse potential climate change impacts on a high mountainous water resources system and to quantify the associated modelling uncertainties. The main objective is to show whether st ...

EPFL2005

New Approach to Identifying Critical Initial Conditions for Extreme Flood Simulations in a Semicontinuous Simulation Framework

Anton Schleiss, Bettina Schaefli, Javier García Hernández, Fränz Zeimetz, Guillaume Mathieu Artigue

Extreme flood simulation with synthetic extreme precipitation events raises unavoidable questions about the choice of initial conditions. State-of-the-art extreme flood estimation frameworks propose to address these questions with the help of semicontinuou ...

2018

Climate change and hydropower production in the Swiss Alps: quantification of potential impacts and related modelling uncertainties

André Musy, Bettina Schaefli

This paper addresses two major challenges in the field of climate change impact analysis on water resources systems: i) incorporation of a large range of potential climate change scenarios and ii) quantification of related modelling uncertainties. The deve ...

2007

Assessment of climate change impacts on Alpine discharge regimes with climate model uncertainty

André Musy, Bettina Schaefli, Abdelkader Mezghani

The present study analyzes the uncertainty induced by the use of different state-of-the-art climate models on the prediction of climate change impacts on the runoff regimes of 11 mountainous catchments in the Swiss Alps having current glaciation rates betw ...

2006

Future water temperature of rivers in Switzerland under climate change investigated with physics-based models

Michael Lehning, Bettina Schaefli, Wolf Hendrik Huwald, Nander Wever, Adrien Michel

River ecosystems are highly sensitive to cli-mate change and projected future increase in air tempera-ture is expected to increase the stress for these ecosystems. Rivers are also an important socio-economic factor impact- ing, amongst others, agriculture, ...

2022

Spatial interpolation of precipitation from multiple rain gauge networks and weather radar data for operational applications in Alpine catchments

Giovanni De Cesare, Bettina Schaefli, Javier García Hernández, Alain Tommy Foehn

Increasing meteorological data availability and quality implies an adaptation of the interpolation methods for data combination. In this paper, we propose a new method to efficiently combine weather radar data with data from two heated rain gauge networks ...

2018

The role of glacier retreat for Swiss hydropower production

Pedro Filipe De Almeida Manso, Bettina Schaefli

High elevation or high latitude hydropower production (HP) strongly relies on water resources that are influenced by glacier melt and are thus highly sensitive to climate warming. Despite of the wide-spread glacier retreat since the development of HP infra ...

Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd2018

Integrating point glacier mass balance observations into hydrologic model identification

Bettina Schaefli

The hydrology of high mountainous catchments is often predicted with conceptual precipitation-discharge models that simulate the snow accumulation and ablation behavior of a very complex environment using as only input temperature and precipitation. It is ...

European Geosciences Union2011

Signature-based model calibration for hydrologic prediction in mesoscale Alpine catchments

Bettina Schaefli, Abdelkader Mezghani

This paper presents a calibration framework for a precipitation-runoff model for flood prediction in a mesoscale Alpine basin with strongly anthropogenic discharges. The developed methodology addresses two classical hydrological calibration challenges: com ...

2010

Relevance of the correlation between precipitation and the 0 C isothermal altitude for extreme flood estimation

Anton Schleiss, Bettina Schaefli, Javier García Hernández, Fränz Zeimetz, Guillaume Mathieu Artigue

Extreme floods are commonly estimated with the help of design storms and hydrological models. In this paper, we propose a new method to take into account the relationship between precipitation intensity (P) and air temperature (T) to account for potential ...

2017

Toward a robust method for subdaily rainfall downscaling from daily data

André Mermoud, Bettina Schaefli, Xavier Beuchat

Compared to daily rainfall data, observed subdaily rainfall times are rare and often very short. For hydrologic modeling, this problem is often addressed by generating synthetic hourly rainfall series, with rainfall generators calibrated on relevant rainfa ...

American Geophysical Union2011

A robust framework for probabilistic precipitations downscaling from an ensemble of climate predictions applied to Switzerland

André Mermoud, Bettina Schaefli, Xavier Beuchat

Rainfall is poorly modeled by general circulation models (GCMs) and requires appropriate downscaling for local-scale hydrological impact studies. Such downscaling methods should be robust and accurate (to handle, e.g., extreme events and uncertainties), bu ...

2012