Lecture

Risk Measures: Accuracy and Multivariate Distributions

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In course

FIN-417: Quantitative financial risk management

This course is an introduction to quantitative risk management that covers standard statistical methods, multivariate models, risk measures, non-linear dependence structures (copula models), as well as credit risk. ...

Description

This lecture covers the evaluation of risk measures such as Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) using methods like Monte Carlo simulation and historical simulation. It also discusses the construction of confidence intervals for VaR estimates and the importance of multivariate distributions in assessing portfolio risks.

Instructors (2)

Semyon Malamud

Teaching & PhD PhD Students Johannes Schwab, Onur Demiray, Giuseppe Matera Past EPFL PhD Students Rémy Praz, Evgeny Petrov, Yuan Zhang, Julien Arsène Blatt, Erik Hapnes, Teng Andrea Xu, Boris Kuznetsov Courses Big Data and Machine Learning for Financial Economics FIN-622 This class is an introduction to Machine Learning and High Dimensional Statistics in Finance. We start with purely empirical approach, focusing first on high dimensional regressions then moving to kernel methods and deep l

Damir Filipovic

Damir Filipovic holds the Swissquote Chair in Quantitative Finance and is Swiss Finance Institute Professor at the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Switzerland. Prior to this, he was head of the Vienna Institute of Finance and professor at the University of Vienna. He previously held the chair of financial and insurance mathematics at the University of Munich, and he was on the faculty of Princeton University. He received his Ph.D. in mathematics from ETH Zurich in 2000. Damir Filipovic worked as a scientific consultant for the Swiss Federal Office of Private Insurance from 2003 to 2004. There he co-developed the Swiss Solvency Test, which defines the regulatory capital requirement for all Swiss based insurance companies and groups. He is on the editorial board of several academic journals. His research interests include the term structure of interest rates, credit and volatility risk, quantitative methods in risk management, and stochastic processes. His papers have been published in a variety of academic journals including the Journal of Financial Economics, Mathematical Finance, Finance and Stochastics, and the Annals of Applied Probability. He is the author of a textbook titled Term-Structure Models.

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Economics

Macroeconomics: Keynesian economics

Statistics

Statistical inference: Mathematical statistics

Business

Business administration: Risk management

Related concepts (32)

Monetary policy

Monetary policy is the policy adopted by the monetary authority of a nation to affect monetary and other financial conditions to accomplish broader objectives like high employment and price stability (normally interpreted as a low and stable rate of inflation). Further purposes of a monetary policy may be to contribute to economic stability or to maintain predictable exchange rates with other currencies.

Expected shortfall

Expected shortfall (ES) is a risk measure—a concept used in the field of financial risk measurement to evaluate the market risk or credit risk of a portfolio. The "expected shortfall at q% level" is the expected return on the portfolio in the worst of cases. ES is an alternative to value at risk that is more sensitive to the shape of the tail of the loss distribution. Expected shortfall is also called conditional value at risk (CVaR), average value at risk (AVaR), expected tail loss (ETL), and superquantile.

Entropic value at risk

In financial mathematics and stochastic optimization, the concept of risk measure is used to quantify the risk involved in a random outcome or risk position. Many risk measures have hitherto been proposed, each having certain characteristics. The entropic value at risk (EVaR) is a coherent risk measure introduced by Ahmadi-Javid, which is an upper bound for the value at risk (VaR) and the conditional value at risk (CVaR), obtained from the Chernoff inequality. The EVaR can also be represented by using the concept of relative entropy.

Financial risk

Financial risk is any of various types of risk associated with financing, including financial transactions that include company loans in risk of default. Often it is understood to include only downside risk, meaning the potential for financial loss and uncertainty about its extent. A science has evolved around managing market and financial risk under the general title of modern portfolio theory initiated by Harry Markowitz in 1952 with his article, "Portfolio Selection".

Risk

In simple terms, risk is the possibility of something bad happening. Risk involves uncertainty about the effects/implications of an activity with respect to something that humans value (such as health, well-being, wealth, property or the environment), often focusing on negative, undesirable consequences. Many different definitions have been proposed. The international standard definition of risk for common understanding in different applications is "effect of uncertainty on objectives".

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