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Lecture

Risk-neutral Valuation

In course

FIN-404: Derivatives

This course provides a detailed presentation of the standard models for the valuation and hedging of derivatives products such as European options, American options, forward contracts, futures contract and exotic options. ...

Description

This lecture covers risk-neutral valuation in the context of European derivatives, focusing on the Black-Scholes-Merton model. It explains the concept of an auxiliary probability measure Q, Feynman-Kac formula, exponential martingales, and the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing. The lecture also delves into trading strategies, market securities, and the existence of Equivalent Martingale Measures (EMMs). The discussion extends to the construction of EMMs, the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, and examples illustrating the application of risk-neutral valuation in financial modeling.

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Instructor

Julien Hugonnier

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Economics

Microeconomics: Financial economics

Related concepts (32)

Financial economics

Financial economics is the branch of economics characterized by a "concentration on monetary activities", in which "money of one type or another is likely to appear on both sides of a trade". Its concern is thus the interrelation of financial variables, such as share prices, interest rates and exchange rates, as opposed to those concerning the real economy. It has two main areas of focus: asset pricing and corporate finance; the first being the perspective of providers of capital, i.e.

Real options valuation

Real options valuation, also often termed real options analysis, (ROV or ROA) applies option valuation techniques to capital budgeting decisions. A real option itself, is the right—but not the obligation—to undertake certain business initiatives, such as deferring, abandoning, expanding, staging, or contracting a capital investment project. For example, real options valuation could examine the opportunity to invest in the expansion of a firm's factory and the alternative option to sell the factory.

Risk-neutral measure

In mathematical finance, a risk-neutral measure (also called an equilibrium measure, or equivalent martingale measure) is a probability measure such that each share price is exactly equal to the discounted expectation of the share price under this measure. This is heavily used in the pricing of financial derivatives due to the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which implies that in a complete market, a derivative's price is the discounted expected value of the future payoff under the unique risk-neutral measure.

Fundamental theorem of asset pricing

The fundamental theorems of asset pricing (also: of arbitrage, of finance), in both financial economics and mathematical finance, provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a market to be arbitrage-free, and for a market to be complete. An arbitrage opportunity is a way of making money with no initial investment without any possibility of loss. Though arbitrage opportunities do exist briefly in real life, it has been said that any sensible market model must avoid this type of profit.

Mathematical finance

Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets. In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that require advanced quantitative techniques: derivatives pricing on the one hand, and risk and portfolio management on the other. Mathematical finance overlaps heavily with the fields of computational finance and financial engineering.

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