Lecture

Overfitting, Cross-validation & Regularization

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In course

CS-233(a): Introduction to machine learning (BA3)

Machine learning and data analysis are becoming increasingly central in many sciences and applications. In this course, fundamental principles and methods of machine learning will be introduced, analyzed and practically implemented. ...

Description

This lecture covers the concepts of model complexity, overfitting, and the importance of cross-validation and regularization in machine learning. It explains the impact of different strategies on model performance and provides insights into handling nonlinear data through techniques like k-Nearest Neighbors and polynomial curve fitting.

Instructor

Mathieu Salzmann

I am a Senior Researcher at EPFL-CVLab, and, since May 2020, an Artificial Intelligence Engineer at ClearSpace (50%). Previously, I was a Senior Researcher and Research Leader in NICTA's computer vision research group. Prior to this, from Sept. 2010 to Jan 2012, I was a Research Assistant Professor at TTI-Chicago, and, from Feb. 2009 to Aug. 2010, a postdoctoral fellow at ICSI and EECS at UC Berkeley under the supervision of Prof. Trevor Darrell. I obtained my PhD in Jan. 2009 from EPFL under the supervision of Prof. Pascal Fua.

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Statistics

Data analysis: Cross-validation, Regression analysis

Related concepts (32)

Logistic regression

In statistics, the logistic model (or logit model) is a statistical model that models the probability of an event taking place by having the log-odds for the event be a linear combination of one or more independent variables. In regression analysis, logistic regression (or logit regression) is estimating the parameters of a logistic model (the coefficients in the linear combination).

Multinomial logistic regression

In statistics, multinomial logistic regression is a classification method that generalizes logistic regression to multiclass problems, i.e. with more than two possible discrete outcomes. That is, it is a model that is used to predict the probabilities of the different possible outcomes of a categorically distributed dependent variable, given a set of independent variables (which may be real-valued, binary-valued, categorical-valued, etc.).

Training, validation, and test data sets

In machine learning, a common task is the study and construction of algorithms that can learn from and make predictions on data. Such algorithms function by making data-driven predictions or decisions, through building a mathematical model from input data. These input data used to build the model are usually divided into multiple data sets. In particular, three data sets are commonly used in different stages of the creation of the model: training, validation, and test sets.

Statistical model validation

In statistics, model validation is the task of evaluating whether a chosen statistical model is appropriate or not. Oftentimes in statistical inference, inferences from models that appear to fit their data may be flukes, resulting in a misunderstanding by researchers of the actual relevance of their model. To combat this, model validation is used to test whether a statistical model can hold up to permutations in the data.

Regression validation

In statistics, regression validation is the process of deciding whether the numerical results quantifying hypothesized relationships between variables, obtained from regression analysis, are acceptable as descriptions of the data. The validation process can involve analyzing the goodness of fit of the regression, analyzing whether the regression residuals are random, and checking whether the model's predictive performance deteriorates substantially when applied to data that were not used in model estimation.

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Explores polynomial curve fitting, kernel functions, and regularization techniques, emphasizing the importance of model complexity and overfitting.

Nonlinear ML Algorithms

Introduces nonlinear ML algorithms, covering nearest neighbor, k-NN, polynomial curve fitting, model complexity, overfitting, and regularization.

Machine Learning Fundamentals: Regularization and Cross-validation

Explores overfitting, regularization, and cross-validation in machine learning, emphasizing the importance of feature expansion and kernel methods.

Cross-Validation: Techniques and Applications

Explores cross-validation, overfitting, regularization, and regression techniques in machine learning.

Linear Regression and Logistic Regression