Lecture

Probability Theory: A Review

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In course

MATH-332: Markov chains

The course follows the text of Norris and the polycopie (which will be distributed chapter by chapter). ...

Description

This lecture provides a review of fundamental probability concepts, covering topics such as probability spaces, sigma algebras, events, random variables, distribution functions, and conditional probability. The instructor will closely follow the book of Norris, with some variations in proofs, and may include renewal theory if time allows.

Instructor

Thomas Mountford

Teaching & PhD Past EPFL PhD Students Damien Gauthier, Samir Brahim Belhaouari, Driss Baraka, Daniel Rodrigues Valesin, Samuel Schöpfer, Kamran Kalbasi, Jacques Saliba, Hao Xue, Keming Chen Past EPFL PhD Students as codirector Guillaume Charles Woessner Courses Analysis I MATH-101(d) Study the fundamental concepts of analysis, and the differential and integral calculus of real-valued functions of one real variable. Markov chains MATH-332 The course follows the text of Norris

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Statistics

Statistical inference: Mathematical statistics

Mathematics

Probability theory: Topics in probability theory

Related concepts (31)

Probability

Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning numerical descriptions of how likely an event is to occur, or how likely it is that a proposition is true. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where, roughly speaking, 0 indicates impossibility of the event and 1 indicates certainty. The higher the probability of an event, the more likely it is that the event will occur. A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin.

Probability axioms

The Kolmogorov axioms are the foundations of probability theory introduced by Russian mathematician Andrey Kolmogorov in 1933. These axioms remain central and have direct contributions to mathematics, the physical sciences, and real-world probability cases. An alternative approach to formalising probability, favoured by some Bayesians, is given by Cox's theorem. The assumptions as to setting up the axioms can be summarised as follows: Let be a measure space with being the probability of some event , and .

Conditional probability

In probability theory, conditional probability is a measure of the probability of an event occurring, given that another event (by assumption, presumption, assertion or evidence) has already occurred. This particular method relies on event B occurring with some sort of relationship with another event A. In this event, the event B can be analyzed by a conditional probability with respect to A. If the event of interest is A and the event B is known or assumed to have occurred, "the conditional probability of A given B", or "the probability of A under the condition B", is usually written as P(AB) or occasionally P_B(A).

Conditional probability distribution

In probability theory and statistics, given two jointly distributed random variables and , the conditional probability distribution of given is the probability distribution of when is known to be a particular value; in some cases the conditional probabilities may be expressed as functions containing the unspecified value of as a parameter. When both and are categorical variables, a conditional probability table is typically used to represent the conditional probability.

Complex random variable

In probability theory and statistics, complex random variables are a generalization of real-valued random variables to complex numbers, i.e. the possible values a complex random variable may take are complex numbers. Complex random variables can always be considered as pairs of real random variables: their real and imaginary parts. Therefore, the distribution of one complex random variable may be interpreted as the joint distribution of two real random variables.

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