Lecture

Introduction to Financial Markets and Time Series

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In course

FIN-407: Machine learning in finance

This course aims to give an introduction to the application of machine learning to finance, focusing on the problems of portfolio optimization, return prediction, and textual analysis. A particular focus will be on deep learning and the practical details o ...

Description

This lecture covers the basics of financial markets and financial time series, including topics such as available data sources, equity products, no arbitrage pricing, stylized empirical facts like autocorrelation and volatility clustering, sample statistics, and confidence intervals. It also delves into the application of machine learning in finance, discussing the goals, applications, and timeline of machine learning, as well as the main types of algorithms used. The lecture concludes with a focus on natural language processing and its applications in sentiment analysis and document analysis.

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Instructor

Semyon Malamud

Teaching & PhD PhD Students Johannes Schwab, Onur Demiray, Giuseppe Matera Past EPFL PhD Students Rémy Praz, Evgeny Petrov, Yuan Zhang, Julien Arsène Blatt, Erik Hapnes, Teng Andrea Xu, Boris Kuznetsov Courses Big Data and Machine Learning for Financial Economics FIN-622 This class is an introduction to Machine Learning and High Dimensional Statistics in Finance. We start with purely empirical approach, focusing first on high dimensional regressions then moving to kernel methods and deep l

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Related concepts (32)

Confidence interval

In frequentist statistics, a confidence interval (CI) is a range of estimates for an unknown parameter. A confidence interval is computed at a designated confidence level; the 95% confidence level is most common, but other levels, such as 90% or 99%, are sometimes used. The confidence level, degree of confidence or confidence coefficient represents the long-run proportion of CIs (at the given confidence level) that theoretically contain the true value of the parameter; this is tantamount to the nominal coverage probability.

Statistic

A statistic (singular) or sample statistic is any quantity computed from values in a sample which is considered for a statistical purpose. Statistical purposes include estimating a population parameter, describing a sample, or evaluating a hypothesis. The average (or mean) of sample values is a statistic. The term statistic is used both for the function and for the value of the function on a given sample. When a statistic is being used for a specific purpose, it may be referred to by a name indicating its purpose.

Natural language processing

Natural language processing (NLP) is an interdisciplinary subfield of linguistics and computer science. It is primarily concerned with processing natural language datasets, such as text corpora or speech corpora, using either rule-based or probabilistic (i.e. statistical and, most recently, neural network-based) machine learning approaches. The goal is a computer capable of "understanding" the contents of documents, including the contextual nuances of the language within them.

Sampling (statistics)

In statistics, quality assurance, and survey methodology, sampling is the selection of a subset or a statistical sample (termed sample for short) of individuals from within a statistical population to estimate characteristics of the whole population. Statisticians attempt to collect samples that are representative of the population. Sampling has lower costs and faster data collection compared to recording data from the entire population, and thus, it can provide insights in cases where it is infeasible to measure an entire population.

Statistics

Statistics (from German: Statistik, () "description of a state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal".

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