Lecture

Martingale Convergence

Graph Chat

Chat with Graph Search

Ask any question about EPFL courses, lectures, exercises, research, news, etc. or try the example questions below.

DISCLAIMER: The Graph Chatbot is not programmed to provide explicit or categorical answers to your questions. Rather, it transforms your questions into API requests that are distributed across the various IT services officially administered by EPFL. Its purpose is solely to collect and recommend relevant references to content that you can explore to help you answer your questions.

In course

COM-417: Advanced probability and applications

In this course, various aspects of probability theory are considered. The first part covers the main theorems in the field (law of large numbers, central limit theorem), while the second part focuses on the theory of martingales and concentration inequalit ...

Description

This lecture covers the concept of martingale convergence, stating that if the expectation of the absolute value of a martingale is finite, then there exists a random variable such that the martingale converges. The instructor discusses various theorems and remarks related to the assumption of the martingale. Examples and applications are provided to illustrate the concept, along with explanations on how to deduce values using martingales. The lecture also delves into the conditions for non-negative martingales and explores the variance of martingales, highlighting the puzzling fact that the variance can be expressed in terms of exponential functions.

Instructors (2)

Olivier Lévêque

Olivier Lévêque was born in Switzerland in 1971. He received the physics diploma from EPFL in 1995 and completed his PhD in mathematics at EPFL in 2001. Since then, he has been with the Laboratory of Information Theory at EPFL. He spent the academical year 2005-2006 at the Electrical Engineering Department of Stanford University, where he was appointed as lecturer. His research interests include stochastic analysis, random matrices, wireless communications and information theory.

Yanina Yurina Shkel

Teaching & PhD PhD Students Serhat Emre Coban, Anuj Kumar Yadav, Cemre Çadir Courses Advanced probability and applications COM-417 In this course, various aspects of probability theory are considered. The first part covers the main theorems in the field (law of large numbers, central limit theorem), while the second part focuses on the theory of martingales and concentration inequalities. Signal processing COM-202 Signal processing theory and applications: discrete and cont

Official source

Ontological neighbourhood

Statistics

Statistical inference: Mathematical statistics

Related concepts (32)

Martingale (probability theory)

In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. Originally, martingale referred to a class of betting strategies that was popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins their stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails.

Quadratic variation

In mathematics, quadratic variation is used in the analysis of stochastic processes such as Brownian motion and other martingales. Quadratic variation is just one kind of variation of a process. Suppose that is a real-valued stochastic process defined on a probability space and with time index ranging over the non-negative real numbers. Its quadratic variation is the process, written as , defined as where ranges over partitions of the interval and the norm of the partition is the mesh.

Convergence of random variables

In probability theory, there exist several different notions of convergence of random variables. The convergence of sequences of random variables to some limit random variable is an important concept in probability theory, and its applications to statistics and stochastic processes. The same concepts are known in more general mathematics as stochastic convergence and they formalize the idea that a sequence of essentially random or unpredictable events can sometimes be expected to settle down into a behavior that is essentially unchanging when items far enough into the sequence are studied.

Random variable

A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. The term 'random variable' can be misleading as it is not actually random nor a variable, but rather it is a function from possible outcomes (e.g., the possible upper sides of a flipped coin such as heads and tails ) in a sample space (e.g., the set ) to a measurable space (e.g., in which 1 corresponding to and −1 corresponding to ), often to the real numbers.

Local martingale

In mathematics, a local martingale is a type of stochastic process, satisfying the localized version of the martingale property. Every martingale is a local martingale; every bounded local martingale is a martingale; in particular, every local martingale that is bounded from below is a supermartingale, and every local martingale that is bounded from above is a submartingale; however, in general a local martingale is not a martingale, because its expectation can be distorted by large values of small probability.

Related lectures (64)

Law of Large Numbers: Strong Convergence

Explores the strong convergence of random variables and the normal distribution approximation in probability and statistics.

Martingale Convergence Theorem: Proof and Recap

Covers the proof and recap of the martingale convergence theorem, focusing on the conditions for the existence of a random variable.

Elements of Statistics: Probability and Random Variables

Introduces key concepts in probability and random variables, covering statistics, distributions, and covariance.

Martingale Convergence Theorem

Explains the martingale convergence theorem and its applications in probability theory.

Calculations of Expectation