Lecture

Optimal Stopping Problems: Theory and Applications

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In course

MGT-484: Applied probability & stochastic processes

This course focuses on dynamic models of random phenomena, and in particular, the most popular classes of such models: Markov chains and Markov decision processes. We will also study applications in queuing theory, finance, project management, etc. ...

Description

This lecture covers optimal stopping problems in applied probability and stochastic processes, focusing on the theory and practical applications. Topics include evaluation programs, asset selling problems, dynamic programming algorithms, correlated prices, and the optimal policy for accepting offers. The instructor presents a dynamic programming algorithm to determine the optimal policy for purchasing with a deadline, considering fluctuating prices and long horizons.

Instructor

Negar Kiyavash

Teaching & PhD PhD Students Mohammad Shahverdikondori, Badri Mohammad Reza, Arefe Boushehrian, Sepehr Elahi, Mohammadsadegh Khorasani, Mohammadsaeed Masiha, Amir Mohammad Aboueimehrizi Past EPFL PhD Students Sina Akbari, Ehsan Mokhtarian, Yaroslav Kivva, Fateme Jamshidi Courses Causal inference MGT-416 Students will learn the core concepts and techniques of network analysis with emphasis on causal inference. Theory andapplication will be balanced, with students working directly with networ

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Related concepts (32)

Evaluation strategy

In a programming language, an evaluation strategy is a set of rules for evaluating expressions. The term is often used to refer to the more specific notion of a parameter-passing strategy that defines the kind of value that is passed to the function for each parameter (the binding strategy) and whether to evaluate the parameters of a function call, and if so in what order (the evaluation order). The notion of reduction strategy is distinct, although some authors conflate the two terms and the definition of each term is not widely agreed upon.

Lazy evaluation

In programming language theory, lazy evaluation, or call-by-need, is an evaluation strategy which delays the evaluation of an expression until its value is needed (non-strict evaluation) and which also avoids repeated evaluations (by the use of sharing). The benefits of lazy evaluation include: The ability to define control flow (structures) as abstractions instead of primitives. The ability to define potentially infinite data structures. This allows for more straightforward implementation of some algorithms.

Probability

Probability is the branch of mathematics concerning numerical descriptions of how likely an event is to occur, or how likely it is that a proposition is true. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where, roughly speaking, 0 indicates impossibility of the event and 1 indicates certainty. The higher the probability of an event, the more likely it is that the event will occur. A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin.

Dynamic programming language

In computer science, a dynamic programming language is a class of high-level programming languages, which at runtime execute many common programming behaviours that static programming languages perform during compilation. These behaviors could include an extension of the program, by adding new code, by extending objects and definitions, or by modifying the type system. Although similar behaviors can be emulated in nearly any language, with varying degrees of difficulty, complexity and performance costs, dynamic languages provide direct tools to make use of them.

Short-circuit evaluation

Short-circuit evaluation, minimal evaluation, or McCarthy evaluation (after John McCarthy) is the semantics of some Boolean operators in some programming languages in which the second argument is executed or evaluated only if the first argument does not suffice to determine the value of the expression: when the first argument of the AND function evaluates to false, the overall value must be false; and when the first argument of the OR function evaluates to true, the overall value must be true.

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