Lecture

Model Selection: Evaluation and Generalization

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In course

EE-311: Fundamentals of machine learning

Ce cours présente une vue générale des techniques d'apprentissage automatique, passant en revue les algorithmes, le formalisme théorique et les protocoles expérimentaux. ...

Description

This lecture covers the importance of model selection in machine learning, focusing on setting up an experimental framework for model assessment and selection. It discusses the evaluation of models to determine their performance and the generalization error. Topics include the use of training, validation, and test sets, cross-validation, stratification, and the bootstrap method for estimating errors. The lecture emphasizes the distinction between model selection and evaluation, highlighting the risks of over-learning and the need for unbiased performance estimation.

Instructors (2)

Michael Stefan Daniel Liebling

Teaching & PhD Past EPFL PhD Students as codirector Christian Jaques, Olivia Mariani, Adrian Shajkofci, François Thierry M Marelli Courses Fundamentals of machine learning EE-311 This course provides a general overview of machine learning, covering the main algorithms, theoretical formalisms, and experimental protocols.

François Fleuret

Official source

Related concepts (32)

Training, validation, and test data sets

In machine learning, a common task is the study and construction of algorithms that can learn from and make predictions on data. Such algorithms function by making data-driven predictions or decisions, through building a mathematical model from input data. These input data used to build the model are usually divided into multiple data sets. In particular, three data sets are commonly used in different stages of the creation of the model: training, validation, and test sets.

Machine learning

Machine learning (ML) is an umbrella term for solving problems for which development of algorithms by human programmers would be cost-prohibitive, and instead the problems are solved by helping machines 'discover' their 'own' algorithms, without needing to be explicitly told what to do by any human-developed algorithms. Recently, generative artificial neural networks have been able to surpass results of many previous approaches.

Statistical model validation

In statistics, model validation is the task of evaluating whether a chosen statistical model is appropriate or not. Oftentimes in statistical inference, inferences from models that appear to fit their data may be flukes, resulting in a misunderstanding by researchers of the actual relevance of their model. To combat this, model validation is used to test whether a statistical model can hold up to permutations in the data.

Maximum likelihood estimation

In statistics, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a method of estimating the parameters of an assumed probability distribution, given some observed data. This is achieved by maximizing a likelihood function so that, under the assumed statistical model, the observed data is most probable. The point in the parameter space that maximizes the likelihood function is called the maximum likelihood estimate. The logic of maximum likelihood is both intuitive and flexible, and as such the method has become a dominant means of statistical inference.

Regression validation

In statistics, regression validation is the process of deciding whether the numerical results quantifying hypothesized relationships between variables, obtained from regression analysis, are acceptable as descriptions of the data. The validation process can involve analyzing the goodness of fit of the regression, analyzing whether the regression residuals are random, and checking whether the model's predictive performance deteriorates substantially when applied to data that were not used in model estimation.

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