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Concept

Bayes' theorem

Related publications (13)

Efficient learning of smooth probability functions from Bernoulli tests with guarantees

Volkan Cevher, Ali Kavis, Paul Thierry Yves Rolland

We study the fundamental problem of learning an unknown, smooth probability function via pointwise Bernoulli tests. We provide a scalable algorithm for efficiently solving this problem with rigorous guarantees. In particular, we prove the convergence rate ...

2019

F-BLEAU: Fast Black-box Leakage Estimation

Giovanni Cherubin

We consider the problem of measuring how much a system reveals about its secret inputs. We work in the black-box setting: we assume no prior knowledge of the system's internals, and we run the system for choices of secrets and measure its leakage from the ...

IEEE2019

Overlapping Multi-Bandit Best Arm Identification

Volkan Cevher, Jonathan Mark Scarlett, Ilija Bogunovic

In the multi-armed bandit literature, the multi-bandit best-arm identification problem consists of determining each best arm in a number of disjoint groups of arms, with as few total arm pulls as possible. In this paper, we introduce a variant of the multi ...

IEEE2019

A guideline for the validation of likelihood ratio methods used for forensic evidence evaluation

Rudolf Haraksim

This Guideline proposes a protocol for the validation of forensic evaluation methods at the source level, using the Likelihood Ratio framework as defined within the Bayes' inference model. In the context of the inference of identity of source, the Likeliho ...

Elsevier Ireland Ltd2017

Expectation Propagation for Rectified Linear Poisson Regression

Matthias Seeger, Young Jun Ko

The Poisson likelihood with rectified linear function as non-linearity is a physically plausible model to discribe the stochastic arrival process of photons or other particles at a detector. At low emission rates the discrete nature of this process leads t ...

2015

Dynamic Valuation of Delinquent Credit Card Accounts

Thomas Alois Weber

This paper introduces a dynamic model of the stochastic repayment behavior exhibited by delinquent creditcard accounts. Based on this model, we construct a dynamic collectability score (DCS) that estimates the account-specific probability of collecting a g ...

INFORMS2015

Is there a common factor for vision?

Michael Herzog, Christine Mohr, Aaron Michael Clarke

In cognition, common factors play a crucial role. For example, different types of intelligence are highly correlated, pointing to a common factor, which is often called g. One might expect that a similar common factor would also exist for vision. Surprisin ...

Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology (ARVO)2014

What are the Odds? Probabilistic programming in Scala

Tiark Rompf, Nada Amin, Sandro Stucki, Manohar Jonnalagedda

Probabilistic programming is a powerful high-level paradigm for probabilistic modeling and inference. We present Odds, a small domain-specific language (DSL) for probabilistic programming, embedded in Scala. Odds provides first-class support for random var ...

ACM2013

Sequential Group Testing with Graph Constraints

Amin Karbasi, Morteza Zadimoghaddam

In conventional group testing, the goal is to detect a small subset of defecting items

\mathcal{D}

in a large population

\mathcal{N}

by grouping \textit{arbitrary} subset of

\mathcal{N}

into different pools. The result of each group test $\mathcal{T} ...

Ieee2012

A Novel Criterion for Classifiers Combination in Multistream Speech Recognition

In this paper we propose a novel information theoretic criterion for optimizing the linear combination of classifiers in multi stream automatic speech recognition. We discuss an objective function that achieves a trade-off between the minimization of a bou ...

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers2009

Theoretical Analysis of Three Bio-Inspired Plume Tracking Algorithms

Alcherio Martinoli, Thomas Lochmatter

We derive the theoretical performance of three bio-inspired odor source localization algorithms (casting, surge-spiral and surge-cast) in laminar wind flow. Based on the geometry of the trajectories and the wind direction sensor error, we calculate the dis ...

2009

Credence estimation and error prediction in biometric identity verification

Andrzej Drygajlo

This paper focuses on the estimation of credence in the correctness of classification decisions produced by a biometric identity verification system. We adopt the concept of decision credence defined in terms of subjective Bayesian degree of belief. We dem ...

2008

Probabilistic models for multi-classifier biometric authentication using quality measures

Jonas Richiardi

Biometric authentication can be cast as a signal processing and statistical pattern recognition problem. As such, it relies on models of signal representations that can be used to discriminate between classes. One of the assumptions typically made by the p ...

EPFL2008

Related publications (13)

\mathcal{D}

in a large population

\mathcal{N}

by grouping \textit{arbitrary} subset of

\mathcal{N}

into different pools. The result of each group test $\mathcal{T} ...

Ieee2012