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Concept

Likelihood principle

Related publications (30)

Boosting likelihood learning with event reweighting

Andrea Wulzer, Alfredo Glioti, Siyu Chen

Extracting maximal information from experimental data requires access to the likelihood function, which however is never directly available for complex experiments like those performed at high energy colliders. Theoretical predictions are obtained in this ...

Springer Nature2024

Wind, Hail, and Climate Extremes: Modelling and Attribution Studies for Environmental Data

Ophélia Mireille Anna Miralles

This thesis presents work at the junction of statistics and climate science. We first provide methodology for use by climate scientists when performing fast event attribution using extreme value theory, and then describe two interdisciplinary projects in c ...

EPFL2023

Inferring free-energy barriers and kinetic rates from molecular dynamics via underdamped Langevin models

Fabio Pietrucci, Sara Bonella, David Daniel Girardier

Rare events include many of the most interesting transformation processes in condensed matter, from phase transitions to biomolecular conformational changes to chemical reactions. Access to the corresponding mechanisms, free-energy landscapes and kinetic r ...

Aip Publishing2023

Bimanual dynamic grabbing and tossing of objects onto a moving target

Aude Billard, Michael Bosongo Bombile

Bimanual grabbing and tossing of packages onto trays or conveyor belts remains a human activity in the industry. For robots, such a dynamic task requires coordination between two arms and fast adaptation abilities when the tossing target is moving and subj ...

Elsevier2023

Stochastic derivative estimation for max-stable random fields

Erwan Fabrice Koch

We consider expected performances based on max-stable random fields and we are interested in their derivatives with respect to the spatial dependence parameters of those fields. Max-stable fields, such as the Brown-Resnick and Smith fields, are very popula ...

ELSEVIER2022

A Maximum-Likelihood-Based Two-User Receiver for LoRa Chirp Spread-Spectrum Modulation

Andreas Peter Burg, Alexios Konstantinos Balatsoukas Stimming, Orion Afisiadis, Joachim Tobias Tapparel

Long Range (LoRa) is an emerging low-power wide-area network technology offering long-range wireless connectivity to Internet of Things (IoT) devices. For energy efficiency reasons, LoRa end nodes implement a nonslotted ALOHA multiple access scheme to tran ...

IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC2022

A Bayesian data assimilation framework for lake 3D hydrodynamic models with a physics-preserving particle filtering method using SPUX-MITgcm v1

Damien Bouffard, Camille Roland Marie Minaudo, Firat Ozdemir

We present a Bayesian inference for a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model of Lake Geneva with stochastic weather forcing and high-frequency observational datasets. This is achieved by coupling a Bayesian inference package, SPUX, with a hydrodynamics packa ...

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH2022

A note on universal inference

Anthony Christopher Davison, Timmy Rong Tian Tse

Universal inference enables the construction of confidence intervals and tests without regularity conditions by splitting the data into two parts and appealing to Markov's inequality. Previous investigations have shown that the cost of this generality is a ...

WILEY2022

Social Learning Under Inferential Attacks

Ali H. Sayed, Stefan Vlaski, Virginia Bordignon, Konstantinos Ntemos

A common assumption in the social learning literature is that agents exchange information in an unselfish manner. In this work, we consider the scenario where a subset of agents aims at driving the network beliefs to the wrong hypothesis. The adversaries a ...

IEEE2021

Euclid : Effects of sample covariance on the number counts of galaxy clusters

Yi Wang, Georges Meylan

Aims. We investigate the contribution of shot-noise and sample variance to uncertainties in the cosmological parameter constraints inferred from cluster number counts, in the context of the Euclid survey. ...

EDP SCIENCES S A2021

Transpochimeric gene trancripts (tcgts) as cancer biomarkers

Didier Trono, Julien Léonard Duc, Evaristo Jose Planet Letschert, Laia Simo Riudalbas

The invention relates to methods for detecting or predicting the likelihood of a cancer in a subject as well as to compositions, pharmaceutical compositions and methods of treatment of cancer. ...

2020

Inference methods for the study of interacting biological oscillators in single-cells

Colas Noé Droin

Biological oscillators are pervasive in biology, covering all aspects of life from enzyme kinetics reactions to population dynamics. Although their behaviour has been intensively studied in the last decades, the recent advances of high-throughput experimen ...

EPFL2020

Contributions to Likelihood-Based Modelling of Extreme Values

Léo Raymond-Belzile

xtreme value analysis is concerned with the modelling of extreme events such as floods and heatwaves, which can have large impacts. Statistical modelling can be useful to better assess risks even if, due to scarcity of measurements, there is inherently ver ...

EPFL2019

Optimistic Distributionally Robust Optimization for Nonparametric Likelihood Approximation

Daniel Kuhn, Wolfram Wiesemann, Viet Anh Nguyen, Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of the likelihood ...

2019

Catalytic Enantioselective Pinacol and Meinwald Rearrangements for the Construction of Quaternary Stereocenters

Qian Wang, Jieping Zhu, Hua Wu

The development of enantioselective pinacol rearrangement is extremely challenging due to the likelihood involvement of the carbenium intermediate that renders the stereochemical communication between catalyst and substrate difficult to achieve. Herein, we ...

2019

Learning new physics from a machine

Andrea Wulzer, Raffaele Tito D'Agnolo

We propose using neural networks to detect data departures from a given reference model, with no prior bias on the nature of the new physics responsible for the discrepancy. The virtues of neural networks as unbiased function approximants make them particu ...

American Physical Society2019

Sequential model identification of reaction systems-The missing path between the incremental and simultaneous approaches

Dominique Bonvin, Julien Léo Billeter, Sriniketh Srinivasan

Modeling chemical reaction systems is an important but complex task. The identified kinetic model must be able to explain all the underlying rate processes such as chemical reactions and heat and mass transfers. Traditionally, the modeling task is carried ...

2019

Learning Approach to Delineation of Curvilinear Structures in 2D and 3D Images

Agata Justyna Mosinska

Detection of curvilinear structures has long been of interest due to its wide range of applications. Large amounts of imaging data could be readily used in many fields, but it is practically not possible to analyze them manually. Hence, the need for automa ...

EPFL2019

Comparing methodologies for structural identification and fatigue life prediction of a highway bridge

Ian Smith, Alain Nussbaumer, Sai Ganesh Sarvotham Pai

Accurate measurement-data interpretation leads to increased understanding of structural behavior and enhanced asset-management decision making. In this paper, four data-interpretation methodologies, residual minimization, traditional Bayesian model updatin ...

2018

The detection of two-component mixture alternatives : Theory and methods

Daria Rukina

In this thesis, we deal with one of the facets of the statistical detection problem. We study a particular type of alternative, the mixture model. We consider testing where the null hypothesis corresponds to the absence of a signal, represented by some kno ...

EPFL2018